Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/10/2016
Chris Durell
Welcome to another night of daily fantasy baseball. Wednesday brings us a split slate with three games in afternoon and 12 in the evening. With such a small early slate we are going to focus on the main slate with our pitchers and stacks. If you are up for some all day or early action I favor the pitching in the Indians/Nationals game and would consider stacking the Giants and Phillies. Let’s dig into the main slate.
PITCHERS
Dallas Keuchel FD 8700 DK 7700
Opponent – MIN (Santana) Park – @MIN
FD – 34.39 DK – 21.78
From a PTS/$ perspective, Keuchel is my top pitcher on the slate tonight. He comes with a very affordable price tag on both sites and has rebounded nicely in the second half. After one of his worst starts of the season against the Tigers, he came out firing last start with a complete game shutout vs. the Rangers. Keuchel has limited opponents to two earned runs or less in seven of his last nine starts and makes up for his average K rate(7.66 K/9) with an elite 57.7% ground ball rate. Keuchel should get a bump in the K’s tonight as the Twins strikeout 8th most(23.4%) vs. left handed pitching.
Justin Verlander FD 10000 DK 12900
Opponent – SEA (Hernandez) Park – @SEA
FD – 33.12 DK – 22.22
Verlander has been dealing at an elite level since the beginning of July. He has gone 5-0 in those seven starts with an impressive 1.85 ERA while limiting opponents to two earned runs or less in all seven games. He has also seen a jump in the strikeout rate(10.54 K/9) over the past month and a half. He gets a decent matchup to keep up the hot streak against the Mariners tonight. Despite being ranked as the 5th best team when looking at wOBA vs. right handed pitching, the Mariners have struggled recently ranking 24th in the last 14 days. He makes an excellent GPP play today.
STACKS
Texas Rangers vs. Jorge De La Rosa (Rockies)
Park – Globe life Park in Arlington
The highest total on the slate comes in a matchup between two southpaws in Globe Life park in Arlington, Texas. The Rangers are favored at home with -150 line at the moment and team total north of five runs today. They make a great stacking option vs. Jorge De La Rosa who has been bad at home and even worse on the road this year. In 48.2 innings away from Coors Field he has pitched to a 6.10 ERA and allowed opponents a .375 wOBA and a hard contact rate(33.5%) that is over 7% higher than his home number. The middle of the Rangers order is a great place to start your stack with Adrian Beltre, Ian Desmond, Jonathan Lucroy and Carlos Beltran. Shin-Soo Choo and Roughned Odor also make intriguing options in a lefty lefty matchup but both actually hit southpaws quite well.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Blake Snell (Rays)
Park – Rogers Centre
The Jays burnt us last night in a good matchup vs. a struggling lefty in Drew Smyly. We can’t let yesterday’s results cloud our judgement today so I will be going back to the well with the boys from North of the border. They have led baseball in hitting southpaws over the past two seasons and get another opportunity to build on those numbers tonight. They will face off with rookie Blake Snell who has shown signs of brilliance in his early career with an impressive 9.16 K/9 rate. He has also shown signs of a total lack of control and has been walking way too many batters(4.42 BB/9). If he hands out free passes to the Jays tonight who sit close to the top with a 9.8% walk rate against LH pitching, he will get punished. Devon Travis makes a near must play as his price continues to stay down despite the red hot streak he is on. Behind him is where you get your power with Jose Baustista, Josh Donaldson, Edwin Encarnacion and even Michael Saunders who has hit left handed pitching quite well this season(.355 OBA/122 wRC+).