Daily Fantasy Baseball Advice – 8/29/16
Nick Rodriguez
Happy Monday everyone! We have Coors on today’s slate, but interestingly enough there are plenty of other stacking options to target today. So lets dive right into the picks!
Pitchers
Jake Arrieta FD 10900 DK 12300
Opponent – PIT (Cole) Park – @CHC
FD – 40.67 DK – 26.5
Jake Arrieta is pitching at home ladies and gentlemen! He’s a different animal when pitching at home, so go ahead and give him a shot in tournaments.
On the year, Arrieta has been killing it at Wrigley. He’s boasting a 2.18 ERA to go along with a 3.37 xFIP and 29.6 K%. Not only are those numbers mind-blowing, but opponents are also hitting .180 against him (not a typo). Opponents aren’t even hitting .200! I guess it’s safe to say you can never go wrong with this ace when he’s on the bump at Wrigley.
Not only does he have the ballpark in his favor, but he’ll also be going up against the Pirates. Yes, the Pirates are in the playoff hunt, but they have been struggling to get anything going offensively. In their last 14 games, they own a .303 wOBA (24th in MLB) along with a .138 ISO (25th in MLB). They haven’t gotten the bats going and I expect Arrieta to give us another Arrieta outing.
Carlos Martinez FD 9700 DK 10300
Opponent – MIL (Davies) Park – @MIL
FD – 33.46 DK – 21.87
A lot of high priced studs on the mound today, but if you’re looking for a cheaper option, then Martinez is your guy. Martinez and the Cardinals will be taking on the Brewers, who are one of the worst teams in the league against northpaws. The Brewers possess a .311 wOBA (23rd in MLB) and a 25.4 K% (highest in MLB) against right-handed pitchers. Martinez has a ton of upside today, as the Brewers fan a ton, which is why he’s an excellent play in all formats.
Stacks
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Wade Miley (BAL)
The Blue Jays have just been killin’ it as of late! They own a .227 ISO (2nd in MLB) and a .364 wOBA (1st in MLB) in their last 14 contests. They are crushing the baseball and making pitchers look like little leaguers out there, so why wouldn’t you stack this offense in the mlb optimizer? When they are hot, they are hard to stop!
Not only has the baseball looked like a watermelon for this Jays’ squad, but they also draw a beautiful matchup against southpaw Wade Miley. This season, Miley is sporting a 5.51 ERA along with a 1.43 WHIP. He has struggled mightily this season and I expect him to have another rough outing against [Dong]aldson and company.
My top 4 guys to stack: Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Bautista, Josh Donaldson and Melvin Upton.
Washington Nationals vs. Jake Thompson (PHI)
One offense that isn’t as sneaky and I expect big things from are the Nationals. They will be going up against a rookie, who has struggled mightily. He owns a 9.78 ERA in 19 innings of work and a 40% hard contact rate. He’s been hit extremely hard and has not had it go his way, so I’m expecting the Nats’ to put on a show today. Sure, you can argue that Thompson’s sample size is too small, but the Nats’ have been hot (.347 wOBA last 14) and it’s kind of hard not to go against a guy who has given up a hard contact rate of 40%. By all possible measures, the dude looks shaken up.
My top 4 guys to stack: Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, Jason Werth and Daniel Murphy.