MLB Daily Fantasy Stacks & Pitchers – 09/30/16
Chris Durell
Welcome to another TGIF edition of our daily fantasy baseball picks. It is the final Friday of the regular season with just three days remaining until the wildcard playoff games. The divisions all now all wrapped up but still a ton to play for as the weekend winds down. The Mets sit one game up on the Giants as the two hold the two final spots in NL over the Cardinals who sit just one game out. On the AL side of things, it’s the Blue Jays and Orioles tied and holding on to the final two spots with the Tigers just 1.5 games back and the Mariners just two games back. Make sure to double-check lineups before locking teams not in contention as they will be playing some youngsters to prepare for next season. Some tremendous value can be found in these situations. Let’s take a look at a few pitching and stacking options for tonight.
PITCHERS
Madison Bumgarner FD 10700 DK 11700
Opponent – LAD (Hill) Park – @SF
FD – 40.76 DK – 27.18
The Giants still have a ton to play for on the final weekend of the season as they sit just one game ahead of the Cardinals for the final wildcard in the National League. They will send ace Madison Bumgarner to the mound who has put together another fantastic season with 14 wins, a 2.71 ERA and elite 10.09 K/9 rate. He has been up and down lately, but you can expect a top effort tonight with the season on the line. He will face the Dodgers as -120 favorites which seem a bit low considering the Dodgers are locked into their playoff spot and will most likely sit some starters. The game also has a very low 6.0 over/under.
Taijuan Walker FD 7500 DK 8900
Opponent – OAK (Alcantara) Park – @SEA
FD – 30.86 DK – 20.21
Over in the American League wildcard, the Mariners don’t exactly control their destiny two games back with three to play, but all they can do now is win and hope the card spot falls their way. The will be tossing young Taijuan Walker to the mound tonight in a crucial situation. He has been up and down all season but has all the upside in the world as he has shown us with three 11 strikeout efforts this season. The latest coming just two weeks ago as he put up a complete game shutout against the Angels. He will get another great opportunity to shine in his final regular season start against the A’s who have lost nine of their last ten games and rank 27th in wOBA against right-handed pitching.
STACKS
Colorado Rockies vs. Brent Suter (Brewers)
Park – Coors Field
It is the final weekend of regular season baseball and our last chance to get some Rockies in our lineups as they won’t be participating in the post season. It should come as no surprise that they lead all 30 teams in wOBA and Isolate Power at home as Coors Field has historically been the best hitters park in the big leagues. They will look to close out the season strong and get a great matchup tonight as they are -160 favorites and projected to score close to seven runs. They will be going against Brent Suter making his first start since mid-August. He hasn’t allowed a run out of the bullpen in 12 appearances but has just an average K rate and could get exposed facing a strong hitting team more than once through the order.
Elite Options – Nolan Arenado, Carlos Gonzalez, DJ Lemahieu, Charlie Blackmon
Value Options – Nick Hundley, Ryan Raburn
Seattle Mariners vs. Raul Alcantara (Athletics)
Park – Safeco Field
The Mariners are desperate for a win sitting two games back of the AL wildcard and have been doing everything in their power lately. Over the last seven days, they have hit ten home runs and put up a 119 wRC+ with one of the best matchups on the board tonight. The park isn’t great, but they will be facing Alcantara who has been terrible since his call-up in September. In four starts he has allowed five home runs and 5.28 xFIP while striking out less than six batters per nine. The Mariners have been a Top 10 team hitting against right-handed pitching all season with their abundance of left-handed hitters throughout the lineup. Alcantara has also really struggled against right-handed hitters giving up a .462 wOBA and four of his five home runs. This puts Nelson Cruz in elite territory tonight.
Elite Options – Robinson Cano, Nelson Cruz, Kyle Seager
Value Options – Norichika Aoki, Seth Smith, Adam Lind