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NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 17 – WR, TE, DEF/ST

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

After discussing some quarterbacks and running backs who could be in line for big performances, it’s time to highlight some wide receivers, tight ends and defenses/special teams to target in Week 17. Don’t forget to sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

WIDE RECEIVERS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 17 - WR, TE, DEF/ST

Antonio Brown vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Stadium – Heinz Field
FanDuel = $8,800
DraftKings = $8,700

The Steelers late-season collapse has left them needing to win in Week 17 and get some help to make the playoffs. That’s great news for DFS purposes because that means it will be business as usual for Brown and the rest of their starters. Brown destroyed the Saints last week, catching 14 of 19 targets for 185 yards and two touchdowns. He’s been a touchdown machine, in general, totaling a career-high 15 scores for the season. The Bengals have allowed the second-most touchdown passes (31) and the third-most passing yards per game (276) in the league, so look for Brown to thrive again Sunday.

Julian Edelman vs. New York Jets
Stadium – Gillette Stadium
FanDuel = $7,100
DraftKings = $7,600

Edelman was certainly busy last week with Josh Gordon no longer with the Patriots, catching six of 10 targets for 70 yards and a touchdown. He’s received at least 10 targets in six of his last eight games and should be locked in for a huge role again Sunday. The Patriots haven’t had much to play for in the last week of the regular season in recent years, but they do this week as they are still trying to secure a first-round bye. They even have an outside chance of clinching home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Jets have allowed the seventh-most passing yards per game (255), making Edelman an excellent target.

Kenny Golladay vs. Green Bay Packers
Stadium – Lambeau Field
FanDuel = $6,800
DraftKings = $6,600

The Lions have struggled to put points on the board, scoring 17 points or fewer in each of their last five games. Golladay hasn’t found his way into the end zone in any of those contests, but that doesn’t mean that you should ignore him in DFS. He’s their top receiving option right now and he still gets plenty of targets. He only had six catches for 58 yards last week against the Vikings, although he did receive 15 targets. The Packers have allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, so this could be a great opportunity for Golladay to end his season on a high note.

Jordy Nelson vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Stadium – Arrowhead Stadium
FanDuel = $5,200
DraftKings = $4,900

Nelson was a valuable contributor in the Raiders defeat of the Broncos last week, catching seven of 10 targets for 75 yards. With the Raiders lacking talent at wide receiver due to injuries and the trade that sent Amari Cooper to the Cowboys, Nelson has been one of their main pass-catching weapons. He had plenty of success against the Chiefs in Week 13, posting 10 receptions for 97 yards. Considering how poorly the Chiefs continue to play defensively, this is a prime spot to deploy Nelson in tournament play.

TIGHT ENDS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 17 - WR, TE, DEF/ST

Travis Kelce vs. Oakland Raiders
Stadium – Arrowhead Stadium
FanDuel = $7,700
DraftKings = $7,200

Back-to-back losses have put the Chiefs in a position where they still need to win Sunday to clinch their division and gain home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. If they don’t win, then they are going to need a lot of help to achieve both feats. That sets them up to play this game like normal, which is great news for Kelce. He’s only posted 115 receiving yards and no touchdowns across their two losses, but he gets an excellent matchup against the Raiders, who have allowed 998 yards and nine touchdowns to tight ends this year. The last time these two teams met, Kelce torched the Raiders for 12 receptions, 168 yards, and two touchdowns.

Evan Engram vs. Dallas Cowboys
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
FanDuel = $5,900
DraftKings = $5,300

Injuries have put a damper on Engram’s second season in the league, but he’s come on strong with Odell Beckham Jr. (quadriceps) out. Across the three games that Beckham has missed, Engram has 17 receptions for 239 yards. The Cowboys have nothing left to play for in Week 17, so they might rest some of their top defensive players in preparation for the playoffs. The Giants are only playing for a high draft pick, so they might not rush Beckham back for this contest, either. If Beckham sits, Engram has plenty of upside.

C.J. Uzomah vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Stadium – Heinz Field
FanDuel = $5,500
DraftKings = $3,500

This disaster of a season is finally getting ready to come to an end for the Bengals. They’ve limped their way to the finish line, losing most of their best skill players on offense. With few options left to throw to, Uzomah caught four of his five targets for 49 yards and a touchdown last week against the Browns. It seems unlikely that the Bengals would push wide receiver Tyler Boyd (knee) to play Sunday, so his absence would once again likely create an expanded role for Uzomah. That would be significant for his production potential since the Steelers have allowed 881 yards and seven touchdowns to tight ends this season.

DEFENSES/SPECIAL TEAMS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 17 - WR, TE, DEF/ST

Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
Stadium – CenturyLink Field
FanDuel = $4,700
DraftKings = $3,700

The Seahawks have nothing left to play for having already secured a Wild Card spot. That might lead them to rest several players on both sides of the ball, but this is still a spot to consider deploying them in DFS. The Cardinals have been one of the worst offenses in the league, scoring 14 points or fewer in four of their last five games. They’ve also allowed quarterback Josh Rosen to be sacked at least two times in each of those five contests.

New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
FanDuel = $3,300
DraftKings = $2,100

The Cowboys have already clinched the NFC East and don’t have the ability to secure a first-round bye, so this is a meaningless contest for them. This is a prime opportunity for them to rest some of their starters, especially Ezekiel Elliott, who already has 304 rushing attempts. If he and quarterback Dak Prescott sit for some or all of this contest, the Giants defense has a chance to excel at home against the Cowboys’ backups.

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 12 – Wide Receivers

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

Reader-only special! Use code EBIRD15 at checkout to save 15%.

The Chiefs and Rams being on byes take away some of the top wide receivers for Week 12, but there are still some great options that stand out at the position in DFS. Let’s highlight a few across the price scale that are worth considering. Don’t forget to sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

CASH CONTEST OPTIONS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 12 - Wide Receivers

Antonio Brown vs. Denver Broncos
Stadium – Broncos Stadium at Mile High
FanDuel = $8,500
DraftKings = $8,700

The Steelers were down 16-0 against the Jaguars on Sunday but stormed back for a big win on the road. Brown wasn’t exactly efficient by catching five of 13 targets, but he turned in a season-high 117 receiving yards and a touchdown. The yardage total is especially impressive when you consider how well the Jaguars have defended against the pass this season. They’ve allowed just 14 passing touchdowns, as well.

The Broncos aren’t exactly a pushover, either, but they have given up 18 touchdowns through the air. Brown not only leads the Steelers with 109 targets but that mark also ranks third in the entire league. Add in his 11 touchdown receptions and he has one of the highest floors of any receiver in DFS, especially during a week with Tyreek Hill and the Rams receivers unavailable.

Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Stadium – Lincoln Financial Field
FanDuel = $8,500
DraftKings = $8,800

The Giants regrouped during their bye week and have now won two straight games for the first time since December of 2016. They scored at least 27 points in both wins with Beckham leading the charge for their receiver group. After catching four passes for 73 yards and two touchdowns in Week 10, Beckham followed that up with four receptions for 74 yards and another touchdown in Week 11.

Likely the biggest reason for the Giants offensive explosion has been their opponents. They faced the 49ers and Bucs, who have combined to allow 46 touchdown passes. The Eagles overall numbers aren’t nearly as bad, but their secondary is decimated right now by injuries. That led the Saints to score 48 points against them in Week 11. Eli Manning is no Drew Brees and this game is at home for the Eagles, but this is a matchup where Beckham could feast.

Mike Evans vs. San Francisco 49ers
Stadium – Raymond James Stadium
FanDuel = $7,900
DraftKings = $7,700

The Bucs were in catch-up mode against the Giants last week, which helped Evans put up some big numbers during the second half. He finished the game with six catches for 120 yards and a touchdown on seven targets. The Bucs will be making yet another quarterback change for this contest, but Evans certainly has a long-standing relationship with Jameis Winston, so don’t expect it to negatively impact his value.

The thing you love about Evans is that you know he’s going to have plenty of opportunities to produce. Not only is he the Bucs top wide receiver, but their defense gives up a ton of points. This requires their offense to throw a lot to try and keep pace. This is a matchup to exploit against a 49ers secondary that has allowed 21 touchdown passes and recorded just two interceptions all season.

GPP TOURNAMENT OPTIONS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 12 - Wide Receivers

Tyler Boyd vs. Cleveland Browns
Stadium – Paul Brown Stadium
FanDuel = $6,800
DraftKings = $6,000

Boyd was the Bengals primary pass catcher again in Week 11 with A.J. Green (toe) on the sidelines. He received 11 targets in that contest, marking his second-highest total of the season. However, he wasn’t able to cash in on his opportunity, catching just four passes for 71 yards. He also failed to score a touchdown for the second straight week, which is somewhat surprising since Green missed both of those contests.

Green will likely return for Week 12, which might actually be a good thing for Boyd. He’ll no longer be the focal point of the opposing team’s defense, setting him up with a better chance to shine against lesser cornerbacks. The Browns do have 13 interceptions this year, but they’ve also allowed the third-most passing yards per game (288). While not a completely safe option at this price, Boyd could be in line for a bounce-back performance.

Doug Baldwin vs. Carolina Panthers
Stadium – Bank of American Stadium
FanDuel = $6,500
DraftKings = $5,100

Baldwin is going to need to make a late push if he’s going to get at least 100 targets for the fourth straight season. Injuries left him to start off slowly, but he’s finally showing signs of turning things around with some improved health. He had his best performance of the year in Week 11, catching seven of 10 targets for 52 yards and a touchdown. That marked the first time he’s received double-digit targets in a game and his first touchdown.

If Baldwin really is past his injury issues, he could be in for a monster finish. One of the more encouraging stats from his Week 11 performance is that he received three red zone targets. The Panthers haven’t given up a ton of yards through the air, but they have allowed the fourth-most passing touchdowns (23). This might be the time to take advantage by putting Baldwin in your lineup before his price starts to climb.

Larry Fitzgerald vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Stadium – StubHub Center
FanDuel = $6,300
DraftKings = $5,000

Is there anyone happier than Larry Fitzgerald that the Cardinals made a change at offensive coordinator? Other than David Johnson, probably not. In three games since Byron Leftwich took over, Fitzgerald has compiled 26 targets, 16 receptions, 175 yards, and three touchdowns. Across his first seven games, he had a total of 41 targets, 26 receptions, 255 yards, and one touchdown.

It should be noted that his increased production could also be a product of an easier schedule. He has played the 49ers, Chiefs, and Raiders across his last three contests, none of which defend the pass well. Facing the Chargers won’t be as easy with them allowing 15 touchdown passes compared to 10 interceptions. With that being said, Fitzgerald should still see enough volume to at least be worth considering in tournament play.

Marquise Goodwin vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Raymond James Stadium
FanDuel = $5,000
DraftKings = $5,600

There are few people who were as high as I was on Goodwin heading into this season. He was coming off of a great 2017 campaign and looked poised to break out with Jimmy Garopplo at quarterback. However, injuries hit the 49ers early and often, the most significant of which was losing Garoppolo to a torn ACL. Goodwin has battled plenty of his own injury concerns, leaving him with just 17 catches for 339 yards.

If you’re looking for a silver lining with Goodwin, he does have four touchdown receptions. He also caught four passes for 69 yards against the Giants in Week 10 and has now had the benefit of a bye week to rest up. If there was ever a game for him to break out, this is it. The Bucs have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game (282) and are tied for the most touchdown passes allowed (25), making Goodwin an extremely appealing option at this price.

PLAYERS TO AVOID

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 12 - Wide Receivers

Keenan Allen vs. Arizona Cardinals
Stadium – StubHub Center
FanDuel = $7,700
DraftKings = $7,100

This is more about Allen’s matchup than anything else. He’s playing really well right now with touchdowns in back-to-back games and he has 87 targets already. However, the Cardinals boast a strong secondary that contains star cornerback Patrick Peterson. They’ve allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (218), making Allen a risky option at this price. I’d much rather roll with Mike Evans if you looking for someone in a similar price range as Allen.

Golden Tate vs. New York Giants
Stadium – Lincoln Financial Field
FanDuel = $6,500
DraftKings = $4,800

After barely playing in Week 10 against the Cowboys, Tate was on the field for 71 percent of the Eagles offensive snaps in Week 11. He didn’t put up a great performance, though, with five catches for 48 yards on eight targets. The Eagles are still working him into their offense, but even in the best case scenario, he’s likely their third receiving option behind Zach Ertz and Alshon Jeffery. His price on DraftKings isn’t terrible, but he seems like a reach based on his price on FanDuel.

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 8 – Wide Receivers

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

Reader-only special! Use code EBIRD15 at checkout to save 15%.

A lot of the top stars at wide receiver won’t be available for the main Sunday slate in DFS for Week 8. Adam Thielen, Julio Jones, Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, and DeAndre Hopkins are among the players who are either on a bye or playing in prime time games. That being said, there is still plenty of talent available across the price scale.  Let’s dive into the schedule and examine some players to target, and some to possibly avoid, as you create your entry. Don’t forget to sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

CASH CONTEST OPTIONS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 8 - Wide Receivers

Antonio Brown vs. Cleveland Browns
Stadium – Heinz Field
FanDuel = $8,800
DraftKings = $8,500

Brown received a season-low six targets in Week 6, but he hauled in five of them for 105 yards and a touchdown. That marked Brown’s second consecutive game with at least 100 receiving yards and the fifth time in six contests that he found his way into the end zone. With six total touchdowns this season, he is only three scores away from matching his mark from all of last season. Even with being on a bye last week, Brown’s 72 targets rank sixth-most in the league.

Brown was able to take advantage of the Browns during their first meeting in Week 1, catching nine of 16 targets for 93 yards and a touchdown. The Browns have only allowed nine touchdown passes while generating 11 interceptions, but they have allowed the seventh-most passing yards per game (279). This game being played at home does work in Brown’s favor since his quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has historically played better at Heinz Field. While Roethlisberger has posted similar yardage totals at home and on the road this year, he has seven touchdowns and two interceptions in three home games compared to five touchdowns and four interceptions in three road contests.

A.J. Green vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Paul Brown Stadium
FanDuel = $8,800
DraftKings = $8,000

Even with the Bengals’ offensive struggles in Week 7, Green still put up great numbers. He received a season-high 14 targets, converting them into seven receptions for 117 yards. That marked Green’s third straight game with at least 10 targets and the fourth time this season that he has finished with at least 85 yards. However, he did fail to reach the end zone for the third straight week.

While it is a bit concerning that Green has struggled to score touchdowns lately, he did record five of them across his first four games. He’s also finished with at least eight touchdowns in every season of his career in which he has played all 16 games. This is a prime matchup for him to find his way into the end zone again with the Bucs allowing the most passing touchdowns (18) in the league despite already having their bye week.

Tyreek Hill vs. Denver Broncos
Stadium – Arrowhead Stadium
FanDuel = $7,800
DraftKings = $8,600

Hill didn’t have a great performance yardage wise last week, catching seven passes for 68 yards. His 9.7 yards-per-reception was his second-lowest mark of the season. On the bright side, he still had 10 targets, marking the third time in the last four games that he had at least that many. Also, he scored a touchdown to bring his total to seven for the year, matching his mark from all of 2017.

The Chiefs offense leaves most of their skill players with significant upside with Hill maybe having the highest ceiling of them all. His 15.5 yards-per-reception rank him inside the top 20 in the league and his seven touchdown receptions are more than any other player. The Broncos have been much better at defending against the pass than the run this season, but Hill still has a high enough floor in this potent offense to be worth considering in cash contests.

GPP TOURNAMENT OPTIONS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 8 - Wide Receivers

Emmanuel Sanders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Stadium – Arrowhead Stadium
FanDuel = $7,200
DraftKings = $6,500

The addition of Case Keenum at quarterback hasn’t exactly gone as well as the Broncos had hoped for, but he’s certainly provided a significant boost for Sanders. Last year, Sanders caught 47 of 92 targets for 555 yards and two touchdowns across 12 games. Through seven games this season, he has 46 receptions on 61 targets for 601 yards and three touchdowns. He had just a 51.5% catch rate last year, but that mark stands at 75.4% this season.

Sanders did leave their Week 7 game after injuring his ankle, but he’s had extra time to recover with that game being played on Thursday. All indications are that he should be able to play Sunday and the Broncos will certainly need him to try and keep pace with the Chiefs offense. The Chiefs defense did play much better against the Bengals. but they’ve still allowed the second-most passing yards per game (317).

Tyler Boyd vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Paul Brown Stadium
FanDuel = $6,800
DraftKings = $6,700

Boyd was one of the main players to suffer from the Bengals 10-point performance last week, catching three of four targets for just 27 yards. It was the first time this year he received less than five targets in a game and his three receptions were also his fewest since Week 1. He’s been a bit boom-or-bust, posting two 100-yard performances, but also recording three contests with fewer than 50 yards.

The Bengals continue to be short on pass-catching options with Tyler Eifert out for the season and John Ross unlikely to play in this game. That should be great news for Boyd because not only do the Bucs give up a ton of touchdowns, but they’ve also allowed the most passing yards per game (328). Boyd has been on the field for at least 93% of the team’s offensive snaps the last two weeks, so don’t be surprised if he has one of his best performances of the season Sunday.

Christian Kirk vs. San Francisco 49ers
Stadium – State Farm Stadium
FanDuel = $5,400
DraftKings = $4,500

The Cardinals offense is a disaster. They’ve scored fewer than 20 points in all but one game this season, which finally led to the firing of offensive coordinator Mike McCoy. Byron Leftwich now takes over the offensive reins, so it might take a couple of games to see how his play calling shakes out. That being said, it can’t be any worse than things were under McCoy’s tenure.

One player who has played fairly well despite the team’s struggles in Kirk, who has been on the field for 74% of their offensive snaps this season. He’s finished with at least 57 receiving yards in four of his last five games and has received at least five targets in five of his last six. Their offensive futility has resulted in him scoring only one touchdown, but that score did come against these same 49ers in Week 5. The 49ers defense has allowed 16 touchdown passes and recorded just one interception, so this looks like an opportunity to take a chance on Kirk in tournament play.

Jordy Nelson vs. Indianapolis Colts
Stadium – Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
FanDuel = $5,300
DraftKings = $4,700

This season has been a lost cause for the Raiders. The team traded away their best defensive player in Khalil Mack just before the start of the year and now they have dealt Amari Cooper to the Cowboys. Add in the fact that Marshawn Lynch was just placed on IR and this offense is severely lacking playmakers.

One of the last men left standing is Nelson. Outside of his 173-yard performance in Week 3, Nelson hasn’t finished with more than 50 receiving yards in another game this year. The good news is that he does have three touchdowns and he was tied with Cooper with 31 targets, so he could be even more involved moving forward. The Colts have been scoring in bunches of late, so the Raiders might need to lean on Nelson and the passing game to keep pace.

PLAYERS TO AVOID

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 8 - Wide Receivers

Sammy Watkins vs. Denver Broncos
Stadium – Arrowhead Stadium
FanDuel = $6,400
DraftKings = $4,600

Watkins is coming off one of his better performances of the season in Week 7, catching four of seven targets for 74 yards. He has upside, but he also is very inconsistent, finishing with 21 yards or fewer three separate times. Hill and Travis Kelce are the clear top receiving options for the Chiefs, with both having at least 60 targets compared to Watkins’ 40. His price on DraftKings is somewhat reasonable based on his inconsistencies, but he’s still risky. Considering Boyd is close to the same price as Watkins on FanDuel, it might be prudent to avoid him all together there.

Marvin Jones Jr. vs. Seattle Seahawks
Stadium – Ford Field
FanDuel = $6,000
DraftKings = $4,800

The Lions have three talented wide receivers, but they use a ton of three-receiver sets, helping Jones be on the field for 98% of their offensive snaps. With that being said, Jones’ 37 targets are third behind Golden Tate (57) and Kenny Golladay (43). Jones is only averaging 45 receiving yards per game, as a result, which is a far cry from his career-high 68.8 yards per game last year. The Seahawks have allowed the third-fewest receiving yards per game (206), leaving Jones with very little upside.

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 2 – Wide Receivers

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

Early bird special! Use code EBIRD15 at checkout to save 15%.

The first week of the NFL season brought some prolific performances from a few of the top wide receivers around the league. There are plenty of great matchups to take advantage of for Week 2, as well. Let’s dive into the schedule and examine some players to target or avoid as you create your DFS entry. Don’t forget to sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

CASH CONTEST OPTIONS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 2 - Wide Receivers

Antonio Brown vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Stadium – Heinz Field
FanDuel = $8,900
DraftKings = $8,800

The weather conditions were less than ideal for the Steelers passing game in Week 1, but Brown still had an excellent performance. He caught nine of 16 targets for 93 yards and a touchdown. The game did include an entire overtime period, but Brown received at least 10 targets in 11 of the 14 games he played last year, as well.

There are few matchups that don’t lean in Brown’s favor, but this is one that certainly sticks out as an opportunity for him to dominate. Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has historically performed better at home, which has given Brown a boost when they play there. In seven games at Heinz Field last year, Brown averaged 119.1 receiving yards and scored six touchdowns. He averaged 99.9 yards and scored three touchdowns across seven games on the road. The Chiefs secondary allowed Philip Rivers to throw for 424 yards last week, leaving Brown with tremendous upside.

Julio Jones vs. Carolina Panthers
Stadium – Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FanDuel = $8,500
DraftKings = $8,400

Jones put on a show against the defending Super Bowl champs in Week 1, catching 10 of 19 targets for 169 yards. He received three targets inside the red zone, but as has been the case in his career, Jones finished yet another game without a score. He scored nine touchdowns over the last two seasons, combined, and has only scored double-digit touchdowns in a year one time in his career.

There is no questioning that Jones is one of the best wide receivers in the league. The only problem has been his inability to reach the end zone. With that being said, he’s a target monster and has no problem racking up yardage. He has received at least 129 targets and recorded at least 1,409 receiving yards in four straight seasons. Even if he doesn’t reach the end zone again Sunday, his role in the offense gives him a high floor that is valuable in cash contests.

Keenan Allen vs. Buffalo Bills
Stadium – New Era Field
FanDuel = $8,000
DraftKings = $7,800

Allen was one of the main beneficiaries of the Chargers having to play catch up with the Chiefs, catching eight of 11 targets for 108 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers have quality depth at wide receiver and brought back Antonio Gates to fill their hole at tight end, but Allen is clearly the focal point of their passing attack. Allen received at least 10 targets in a game nine times last year and finished the season recording at least 100 yards in five of his final seven contests.

The Bills were awful in their blowout loss to the Ravens in Week 1 and while they struggled across the board, they allowed Joe Flacco to throw three touchdown passes after he failed to toss more than two in any game last year. There is a chance the Chargers could storm out to an early lead and run the ball more in the second half, but Allen should still see plenty of passes thrown his way.

GPP TOURNAMENT OPTIONS

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 2 - Wide Receivers

Emmanuel Sanders vs. Oakland Raiders
Stadium – Broncos Stadium at Mile High
FanDuel = $6,800
DraftKings = $6,200

Sanders entered 2017 having received at least 136 targets and posting at least 1,032 yards in three straight seasons. However, he dealt with injuries and poor quarterback play last year, which resulted in him finishing with 555 yards over 12 games. His 51.1% catch rate and 11.8 yards per reception were both his lowest marks since he was still with the Steelers in 2013.

The addition of Case Keenum immediately paid dividends for Sanders in Week 1 as he hauled in 10 of 11 targets for 135 yards and a touchdown. It did come against a Seahawks defense that is a shell of its former self, but he’ll get another favorable matchup Sunday against a Raiders defense that suffered a tough blow when Khalil Mack was traded to the Bears. He might not be able to replicate his performance from last week, but Sanders doesn’t have to in order to still be able to provide value at this price.

Josh Gordon vs. New Orleans Saints
Stadium – Mercedes-Benz Superdome
FanDuel = $6,300
DraftKings = $5,800

Gordon didn’t start Week 1 after missing part of training camp and was supposed to be on a limited snap count. The latter didn’t come to fruition as he was on the field for 69 of the Browns 89 offensive plays. He only caught one of three targets, but it resulted in a 17-yard touchdown.

Gordon is listed as a starter for Week 2 and should be on the field plenty in this game. He has tremendous talent, but off-the-field issues have certainly put a damper on his career. The Browns may be forced to throw a lot to keep up with the Saints high-powered offense, which could lead to a big performance from Gordon.

Nelson Agholor vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Raymond James Stadium
FanDuel = $6,100
DraftKings = $6,100

Agholor had a weird first game of the season. He entered Week 1 as the Eagles top wide receiver with Alshon Jeffery out due to injury and certainly saw plenty of passes thrown his way, grabbing eight of 10 targets. However, he finished with just 33 yards.

Jeffery will be sidelined again in Week 2, leaving Agholor to likely get the lion’s share of the targets out of the Eagles wide receiver group. Tight end Zach Ertz will likely be heavily involved, as well, but Agholor still stands out as a great option against a Buccaneers defense that allowed Drew Brees to throw for 429 yards in Week 1.

Kenny Golladay vs. San Francisco 49ers
Stadium – Levi’s Stadium
FanDuel = $5,700
DraftKings = $4,800

The Lions suffered one of the uglier losses of Week 1 on Monday against the Jets. Matthew Stafford had a particularly poor performance, throwing four interceptions compared to just one touchdown. The good news was they were forced to throw a lot because of the lopsided score, which helped Golladay amass seven receptions and 114 yards on 12 targets.

The Lions have an impressive wide receiver trio of Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr., and Golden Tate. While that might limit their production for some teams, it’s not a big concern for the Lions because they use a lot of three-receiver sets and don’t run the ball a ton. They also don’t really have any quality pass-catching options at tight end after Eric Ebron departed for the Colts. Don’t be surprised if the Lions defense forces their offense to try and play from behind in this game, too, which makes Golladay an intriguing option in tournament play.

PLAYERS TO AVOID

NFL Daily Fantasy Football Recommendations for Week 2 - Wide Receivers

Amari Cooper vs. Denver Broncos
Stadium – Broncos Stadium at Mile High
FanDuel = $6,900
DraftKings = $6,600

Cooper is one of the more frustrating receivers in fantasy. He has a lot of talent, but drops have limited his production. New head coach Jon Gruden said he wanted Cooper to be heavily involved in their offense this year, but he received just three targets in Week 1. While it did come against a very tough Rams secondary, it wasn’t the type of performance that instills a ton of confidence that this season will be any different for him. The Broncos secondary is formidable as well as they entered the season ranked 10th in the league by Pro Football Focus. There are a lot of great options at wide receiver with bye weeks having yet to start, so Cooper seems like an unnecessary risk to take.

Randall Cobb vs. Minnesota Vikings
Stadium – Lambeau Field
FanDuel = $6,200
DraftKings = $4,600

The injury to Aaron Rodgers last year really hurt Cobb’s numbers. He averaged a career-low 9.9 yards per catch and scored just four touchdowns despite playing in 15 games. He put up a vintage performance with Rodgers back at the helm for Week 1, catching nine of 12 targets for a whopping 142 yards and a touchdown. It was certainly encouraging for Cobb’s outlook for the season, but he’s not someone you want to consider this week with Rodgers battling a knee injury and also having to face the stingy Vikings defense.

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

*Mike Barner*

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

If you are out of the playoffs in your season-long fantasy football leagues, don’t worry, your season isn’t over. That’s the beauty of daily fantasy football, there is always fun to be had. Let’s try to pick up your spirits and win you some money. Put your favorite daily fantasy football recommendations from the article below in our lineup optimizer and hit calculate. You can let it fill in the rest of the spots for you or choose your personal favorites from the NFL Player Lab.

**QUARTERBACKS**

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

Russell Wilson vs. Los Angeles Rams
Stadium – CenturyLink Field
DraftKings = $7,300
FanDuel = $8,400

Wilson is on a roll as he has thrown at least two touchdowns in eight straight games and at least three touchdowns in both of his last two games. Although he’s posted a career-low 61.9% completion percentage, he is averaging a career-high 271.3 passing yards per game. The Seahawks have struggled to establish a running game this season, leaving Wilson to shoulder the offensive load. Wilson has provided value with his legs as well, averaging 37.1 rushing yards per game. Although he only threw for 198 yards and one touchdown against the Rams earlier this season, that was before he took off. That game was also on the road. The Rams have had some big point totals put up against them this season, so look for Wilson to continue his hot streak in Week 15.

Ben Roethlisberger vs. New England Patriots
Stadium – Heinz Field
DraftKings = $6,700
FanDuel = $8,000

Speaking of quarterbacks playing well, Roethlisberger has thrown for 1,446 yards and 12 touchdowns over his last four games. The key there is three of those four games came at home. Roethlisberger is a different player at home as he’s averaging 322.5 passing yards per game at Heinz Field compared to 258.4 yards per game on the road. He’s played one more game on the road this season, but has 14 touchdowns passes at home compared to only 10 on the road. This could be a high-scoring game between two strong offenses, leaving Roethlisberger with a tremendous opportunity to provide value.

Nick Foles vs. New York Giants
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $5,500
FanDuel = $6,000

With Carson Wentz (knee) now out for the season, Foles gets another shot to be the starting quarterback for the Eagles. His previous success as a starter for them is well documented as he threw for 27 touchdowns and only two interceptions in 2013. While it’s not likely that he will return to that type of production, he does take over a talented offense. The Eagles will likely run the ball even more now based on their trio of productive running backs, but that should open up opportunities for Foles still as teams try to stop the run. The Giants defense is decimated by injuries and they are especially thin at cornerback. Foles won’t cost you much, giving him the potential to be one of the better value plays of the week.

**RUNNING BACKS**

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

Le’Veon Bell vs. New England Patriots
Stadium – Heinz Field
DraftKings = $9,300
FanDuel = $9,400

Bell not only has a very high ceiling in terms of production, but he also has a high floor based on his role in the offense. He’s been extremely involved in the passing game, receiving at least 10 targets in three of the last four games. After three straight games without a touchdown, Bell has reached the end zone four times over the last two games. Offense likely won’t be hard to come by in this game, so don’t be afraid to pay up for Bell.

Christian McCaffrey vs. Green Bay Packers
Stadium – Bank of America Stadium
DraftKings = $6,000
FanDuel = $6,900

McCaffrey is coming off a rough game Week 14 against the Minnesota Vikings as he finished with only 53 total yards. He only received four targets in the game, his fewest in any game this season. Fellow Panthers running back Jonathan Stewart had 103 rushing yards in three touchdowns, but that was a rare performance as he has rushed for at least 100 yards in a game only twice all season. McCaffrey may take his turn as the most valuable back in the Panthers backfield Week 15 as the Packers have allowed 80 receptions, 630 receiving yards and four receiving touchdowns to running backs this season. That fits McCaffrey’s skill set very well, so get him in your lineup this week.

Kenyan Drake vs. Buffalo Bills
Stadium – New Era Field
DraftKings = $5,800
FanDuel = $6,500

Drake has thrived as the lead back the last two weeks, rushing for at least 114 yards in both of those games. With Damien Williams (shoulder) out, Drake also recorded eight receptions and 100 receiving yards over the same two games. It’s uncertain if Williams will be able to return this week but even if he does, Drake may have separated himself with his recent success. The Bills have allowed the most rushing touchdowns (18) and the sixth-most rushing yards per game (123.7) in the league this season, so look for Drake to thrive again this week.

**WIDE RECEIVERS**

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

Antonio Brown vs. New England Patriots
Stadium – Heinz Field
DraftKings = $9,100
FanDuel = $9,300

Brown has put up massive numbers lately, accumulating 39 receptions, 627 yards and six touchdowns in his last four games. He continues to get a ton of volume as he has received at least 10 targets in all but two games this season. With a career-high average of 116.1 receiving yards per game this season, Brown is a great option just about every week. Week 15 brings what should be a shootout with the Patriots and given the success of Roethlisberger at home, Brown is primed for another huge performance.

Devin Funchess vs. Green Bay Packers
Stadium – Bank of America Stadium
DraftKings = $6,600
FanDuel = $7,300

Funchess came out of Sunday’s game against Xavier Rhodes and the Minnesota Vikings with a respectable performance, catching three passes for 59 yards and a touchdown. He’s scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four games and has a career-high seven for the season overall. Now the number one receiver in Carolina, he’s got a reasonable shot to recording at least 1,000 receiving yards for the first time in his career. The Packers present a nice matchup as they allow the ninth-most net passing yards per game (240) and have allowed 22 receiving touchdowns this season. Consider playing Funchess at this reasonable price.

Marquise Goodwin vs. Tennessee Titans
Stadium – Levi’s Stadium
DraftKings = $6,000
FanDuel = $6,600

EJ Manuel, Thaddeus Lewis, Kyle Orton, Tyrod Tayler, Brian Hoyer and C.J. Breathard, that’s the sad list of quarterbacks that Goodwin has played with during his five-year career. It’s still early, but current 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is probably the best Goodwin has ever played with. Early returns have been excellent as Goodwin has 14 receptions on 20 targets for 205 yards in two games with Garoppolo starting. With so few talented receivers around him, don’t expect his volume to decrease anytime soon. He only has one touchdown this season, but his volume with a quality passer still gives him value.

Dede Westbrook vs. Houston Texans
Stadium – EverBank Field
DraftKings = $5,100
FanDuel = $5,700

Westbrook is starting to take off, catching 11 of 17 targets for 159 yards and one touchdown in his last two games. Those games were against a poor Indianapolis Colts defense and an injured Seattle Seahawks secondary, so he didn’t exactly have the toughest opponents. That won’t change this week as the Texans are allowing the seventh-most next passing yards per game (242). The Jaguars don’t exactly have much depth at wide receiver either, giving Westbrook a relatively high floor at this cheap price.

**TIGHT ENDS**

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

Zach Ertz vs. New York Giants
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $6,000
FanDuel = $7,900

Ertz did not play Week 14 due to a concussion, but has been cleared and has resumed practicing this week. Unless he suffers an unexpected setback, expect him to take the field against the Giants. Although Ertz will be without his star quarterback in Wentz, he is familiar with Foles as the two played together when Foles was starting for the Eagles in 2013 and 2014. Ertz recorded eight catches, 55 yards and one touchdown against the Giants in Week 3, which is not surprising based on their struggles to defend the tight end. Don’t be concerned about the loss of Wentz too much this week as this is still a juicy matchup for Ertz.

Jared Cook vs. Dallas Cowboys
Stadium – Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
DraftKings = $4,400
FanDuel = $6,100

Cook only had two catches for 11 yards in two games combined heading into Week 14 but righted the ship with five receptions for 75 yards and one touchdown against the Kansas City Chiefs. Wide receiver Amari Cooper (ankle) left that game early, leaving quarterback Derek Carr to lean more heavily on Cook. Cooper is listed as day-to-day heading into Week 15, but he might be limited even if he does play. The Cowboys are not particularly strong at defending tight ends, making Cook a reasonable option at this price.

**DEFENSES/SPECIAL TEAMS**

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans
Stadium – EverBank Field
DraftKings = $4,500
FanDuel = $5,900

The Jaguars already have a special defense, but they have a great matchup this week as T.J. Yates is likely going to start at quarterback for the Texans. Although he looked good by throwing two touchdowns against the 49ers in relief of Tom Savage (concussion) last week, playing the Jaguars is a whole different story. Not only do the Jaguars lead with NFL with 47 sacks, but they are also in the top-five in both interceptions and fumble recoveries. Pay up for them Sunday.

Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $3,600
FanDuel = $4,700

The Eagles defense is no pushover either as they are tied for the tenth-most sacks (35) in the league. This is a great matchup against a Giants offense that has only scored 49 total points in their last four games. With the majority of their skill players injured and their offensive line in shambles, things aren’t likely to get any better for the Giants this week. If you can’t stomach the Jaguars pricetag, go with the Eagles.

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

*Chris Durell*

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

 

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

Tier 1

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

We start off in the first tier with two running backs facing each other this weekend. Kareem Hunt sits second in the league in rushing yards(873) but has been in a downward spiral lately with five straight games without a 100+ yard game or a touchdown. He gets another elite matchup this week facing a Bills team that has allowed the eighth-most rushing yards per game(119.9), rank 31st in DVOA vs. the rush, and 31st in DraftKings points per game allowed to the position. On the other side of the ball, we have LeSean McCoy who sits eighth in league rushing yards(709) but has been inconsistent with four games under 50 yards and three games over 100 yards. The good news is he gets a terrific matchup vs. the Chiefs who have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards per game(129.2) and rank 32nd in DVOA vs. the rush. The one thing that scares me is that they rank ninth when looking at Draftkings points per game allowed to running backs and it has to do with their ability to limit the yards through the air. They have allowed a league-low 235 yards total and zero touchdowns.

Looking at the wide receivers, there are some glaring differences which should make the decision a bit easier this week. Julio Jones slightly leads the way in receiving yards(786 to 743) but has had a ton of trouble scoring with just one touchdown on the season. His injuries have also been a problem which have limited him to an average of 72% of the snaps compared to Green’s 87% on the season. Touchdowns are what pay the bills in fantasy and Green has scored one in two straight and six of his last eight games. The only issue is the individual matchup as Green will likely see a ton of Jason McCourty who is PFF’s 3rd ranked cornerback this season.

Top Targets in this Tier – Kareem Hunt, Julio Jones

Tier 2

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

Travis Kelce leads the second tier as he averages 17.5 DraftKings points for the season. He has collected seven or more receptions in three straight weeks, picked up 100+ yards in two of his last three games(four times this season), and has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games as well. The matchup gets a little tougher this week as the Bills rank 13th in DVOA vs. the pass and 15th in DraftKings points per game allowed to the tight end as they have limited them to just two touchdowns on the season. He is clearly Alex Smith’s top target in the passing game but I have a strong feeling the Chiefs will be feeding Kareem Hunt this week. For Tevin Coleman, it will come down to the status of Devonta Freeman who is still in the concussion protocol as of Tuesday. Coleman has filled in nicely and has now scored in three straight weeks. The Falcons are double-digit favorites vs. the Bucs so if Freeman is out, look for another high volume game from Coleman.

When it comes to the wide receivers, we get a couple target monsters in Jarvis Landry(10.8 per game) and Mike Evans(9.3 per game) who are both playing on the road. Of the two, it is Evans who gets the much tougher matchup vs. the Falcons secondary that has limited teams to 200.8 yards per game through the air(7th overall) and the sixth-fewest DraftKings points per game. Although he managed five catches for 92 yards last week with Ryan Fitzpatrick, it is still a downgrade from Jameis Winston in an already tough matchup. For Landry, the game script is right up his alley as the Dolphins are huge 17 point dogs which will force Jay Cutler to throw it a ton and although they have been better lately, the Pats still rank 29th in DVOA vs. the pass and 30th in DraftKings points per game allowed to wideouts.

Top Targets in this Tier – Tevin Coleman, Jarvis Landry

Tier 3

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

The biggest decision in this tier will be between the two Patriots as they get an elite matchup vs. the Dolphins who rank 31st in DVOA vs. the pass. Cooks will likely be the higher owned of the two, coming off a monster game where he caught six of nine targets for 149 yards and a touchdown, but gets the tougher matchup as Miami ranks 16th overall in DraftKings points per game to wideouts. I don’t think he is a fade, by any means, but I prefer Gronk as the Dolphins have allowed the fifth-most DraftKings points per game to wideouts and like I said, should be lower owned. T.Y. Hilton is a fade at this point as he has not only been inconsistent but his quarterback, Jacoby Brissett, is still in the concussion protocol.  Christian McCaffrey is a great option this week as he has seen an increased role in the running game, especially in the red zone, and comes in with rushing touchdowns in back to back weeks. He also leads all running backs with an average of 7.9 targets per week which would also put him 17th when adding in wide receivers. This is a perfect scenario for DraftKings which is full PPR.

Top Targets in this Tier – Rob Gronkowski, Christian McCaffrey

Tier 4

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

First of all, I think we can avoid Zach Ertz this week after he made his return from a hamstring injury last week but appeared to not be a part of the game plan as he was targeted just five times, catching two of them for eight yards. It also doesn’t help his cause facing a Bears team that ranks ninth overall in DraftKings points per game allowed to the position giving up two touchdowns all season. His teammate Jay Ajayi doesn’t have much going for him either as the Bears rank 16th in DK points per game allowed to running backs and despite breaking off two long runs over his last two games has only seen 15 total carries since joining the Eagles. The issue is the team using all four running backs despite Ajayi being the most talented. The entire Chiefs offense let us down last week but on a positive note, Tyreke Hill caught all seven of his targets for 68 yards and gets a plus matchup vs. the Bills who have allowed the ninth-most passing yards per game(246.9) and rank 19th in DK points per game allowed to wideouts. Greg Olsen is set to return this week for the Panthers which could possibly cut into Devin Funchess’ targets but with Curtis Samuel out for the season, I am not too concerned at this point. He is also coming off his best game of the season where he recorded five receptions for a season-high 92 yards and his second multi-touchdown game. He faces a Jets team that ranks mid-pack when looking at passing yards allowed per game(229) but ranks 22nd in DVOA vs. the pass and 21st in DraftKings points allowed to wideouts.

Top Targets in this Tier – Devin Funchess, Tyreke Hill

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

Tier 5

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

The first tier of quarterbacks gives us four options with excellent matchups against teams who both rank outside the Top 20 in DVOA vs. the pass and DraftKings points allowed to the position. Matt Ryan and the Falcons are 10-point favorites at home to the Bucs who have allowed the second most passing yards per game(276.3) so if you are playing Julio in Tier 1, I think it makes sense to go with Matt Ryan here. I mentioned the tough matchup for A.J. Green in the first tier but to be a bit contrarian in your lineup you can pair him with Andy Dalton who is likely the lowest owned quarterback in this tier. Alex Smith leads all quarterbacks in this tier with an average of 21 DK points per game but is on an ugly stretch where he is averaging just 231.7 yards per game over his last three games and thrown for just three touchdowns. It also hurts Smith a bit considering Kareem Hunt and the run game get an elite matchup vs. the Bills 31st ranked rush defense. While Cam Newton didn’t reach the 300-yard passing mark in his last game before the Bye Week, he did have a monster game with four passing touchdowns and also rushed five times for 95 yards totaling 35.66 DraftKings points. The total falls below 40 this week which is a bit scary but the Jets have been much better vs. the run this season ranking 11th in DK points allowed to running backs while ranking outside the Top 20 in DK allowed to quarterbacks, wide receivers, and tight ends. Finally, we get Marcus Mariota who topped 20 DraftKings points for the first time last game with 306 yards passing with one touchdown and added a rushing touchdown as well. The Colts have been terrible against the pass this season allowing the third-most yards per game(274.5) but Mariota just hasn’t shown us the upside needed to win a tournament.

Top Targets in this Tier – Matt Ryan, Cam Newton

Tier 6

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

I will start with the running backs as one is leading the tier in fantasy points per game and the other is at the bottom. With his second 100-yard game in three weeks and fourth on the season, Jordan Howard now sits third in the league with 841 rush yards. The issue this week is the matchup as the Bears go on the road to face the 9-1 Eagles who have limited teams to a league-best 71 yards rushing per game and have allowed the third-fewest DraftKings points per game to running backs. As for DeMarco Murray, he has been leading the way in the timeshare with Derrick Henry but has received less than 15 carries in three straight games while not topping 50 yards once. The good news for Murray is that he gets a plus matchup vs. the Colts who rank 25th in DraftKings points per game to running backs.

Looking at the wideouts in this tier, I will start with the injury to Danny Amendola. He caught eight of his nine targets last week in Mexico but was limited in the second half and was also limited in practice all week leading up to this game. I will be fading him this week as he is nothing more than the third or fourth option in the pass game with the likes of Rob Gronkowski, Brandin Cooks, and the running backs in the mix. Alshon Jeffery has been coming on strong lately and has scored a touchdown in three straight games(four total) topping 15 DraftKings points in each. With Zach Ertz still possibly dealing with an injury, I think Jeffery can still hit value for us despite the tougher matchup vs. the Bears who have allowed the 12th fewest passing yards per game(213) and also rank 12th in DraftKings points per game to wideouts. They just have not faced a passing attack quite like the Eagles present with Carson Wentz. The other matchup I am targeting in this tier is Rishard Matthews, despite my lack of enthusiasm for Marcus Mariota’s ceiling. Matthews leads the Titans wideouts in targets this season and coming off a season where he led the team with nine touchdowns, he has heated up with one in two of his last three games and is coming off his best game of the season with 113 receiving yards.

Top Targets in this Tier – Alshon Jeffery, Rishard Matthews

Tier 7

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

Starting with some injury news, Devonta Freeman was once again absent from Falcons practice on Wednesday as he is still dealing with a concussion. Even if he gets in a limited practice near the end of the week and plays, I will be fading him and playing Tevin Coleman who I mentioned above.

Then we have two tight ends facing each other this week. Both defenses rank inside the Top 20 in DK points per game allowed to the position and with Jack Doyle possibly without his quarterback this week, I will be fading him. If you are planning on choosing one of these two I would suggest Delanie Walker. Despite not scoring a receiving touchdown in 2017, he has been targeted on the regular with nine or more in three of his last four games and has been a safe option with double-digit DK points in all four of those games.

For the wideouts, we get three secondary options on their respective teams. Kenny Still leads the way in this tier averaging 13.2 DK points per game but is the third option on the Dolphins behind Jarvis Landry and Devante Parker. He is definitely a boom or bust deep threat that has shown us the upside and is coming off his biggest game of the year where he caught seven of eight targets, including a 45-yard and 61-yard catch, for 180 yards and a touchdown. Mohamed Sanu has caught a touchdown in three of his last four games but isn’t getting the volume in the Falcons passing game with just three receptions in three straight games. Against a weak Bucs passing defense that could go up a little bit so if you are using Matt Ryan in Tier 5, Sanu makes a nice stacking option with touchdown upside.

Top Targets in this Tier – Mohamed Sanu, Delanie Walker

Tier 8

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Advice Week 12

Although Duke Johnson is showing a questionable tag at the moment, he was removed from the Browns injury report and is good to go on Sunday. He continues to get out-carried by Isaiah Crowell but is a big factor in the passing game as he has picked up five or more targets in all but one game this season which is perfect for DraftKings and its full PPR point system. DeSean Jackson has been his deep-threat self this season with just one catch over 40 yards and combine that with the tough matchup vs. the Falcons and he is a full fade for me this week. Corey Coleman made his return to the Browns offense last week and made an immediate impact catching six of a team-high 11 targets for 80 yards. The Bengals have been tough on wideouts all year ranking fourth in DK points per game allowed but I still like him as a contrarian option as Duke Johnson should be the highest-owned option in this tier. Neither of the tight ends present a ton of upside but if you are choosing one, I prefer Austin Sefarian-Jenkins who has been a nice redzone target for the Jets as he has caught four of his six inside the 20-yard line for all three of his touchdowns. It is also noteworthy that Charles Clay may still be dealing with a knee injury as he has been limited at practice again this week and has been quiet in his two games since returning to the lineup. It doesn’t help that the Bills keep flip flopping with their quarterbacks.

Top Target in this Tier – Corey Coleman, Duke Johnson, Austin Sefarian-Jenkins

 

Thanks for reading and if you have any questions leading up to Sunday morning lineup lock, be sure to hit me up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Good luck everyone!

 

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10

*Chris Durell*

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10

 

 Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

Tier 1

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

Very interesting opening tier where DraftKings decided to put Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown together. Not only is it very close as they are both averaging 21 DraftKings points per game but the Steelers are also a Top 10 rushing team and passing team when looking at the DVOA ranks and the Colts are at the bottom of the league in both passing and rushing defense. With the Steelers sitting as double-digit favorites(-10.5), I tend to lean on Bell who should see some extra volume in the second half if the Steelers can get the early lead. When it comes to the other two running backs in this tier, they are very comparable when looking at the matchups. Both the Chargers and Saints have been Top 10 vs. the pass this season(DVOA) and sit in the upper half of the league when looking at DraftKings points allowed to wideouts and tight ends but both sit outside the Top when looking at rushing defense. I lean Fournette here as Jacksonville is a four-point home favorite and have an elite defense that should be able to shut down the Chargers. Fournette is also a big bounce back candidate that should be revved up after being benched for violating team rules. It also helps that the Jags heavily rely on him for most of their offense.

Top Targets in this Tier – Le’veon Bell, Leonard Fournette

Tier 2

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

Another interesting decision to make in the second tier as both Saints running backs are in play. Mark Ingram out snapped Kamara last week 36-25 but it was Kamara having the better fantasy day as he rushed 10 times for 68 yards and a touchdown and also caught six of his seven targets for 84 yards and a touchdown for 32.2 DraftKings points. The Saints now own the 3rd best rushing offense(DVOA) and get another decent matchup this week as -2.5 favorites vs. the Bills who rank 17th in DVOA vs. the rush and 16th in DraftKings points allowed to the running back. With the Bills being even better against the pass, I lean Ingram who should once again see more snaps and likely another 15+ carries.  Melvin Gordon is coming off a bye week after blowing up against the Patriots in Week 8 as he rushed for 132 on just 14 carries thanks to an explosive 87-yard touchdown run. The Jags rush defense has also improved lately as the held the Bengals to just 30 yards from the running back and the week before held the Colts to just 65 yards(running backs). Gordon could very well be the lowest owned player in this tier. The last option we have is wide receiver turned UFC fighter, A.J. Green. All jokes aside, Green is an elite wideout who ranks 8th in receiving yards(578) and has also scored four touchdowns. He gets an elite matchup this week as the Titans have been rock solid against the run but struggled against the passing game as they rank 22nd in DVOA vs. the pass and 20th in DraftKings points allowed to wide receivers.

Top Targets in this Tier – A.J. Green, Mark Ingram

Tier 3

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

First things first, Mike Evans has been suspended after his altercation with Marshon Lattimore last week and the appeal was denied confirming he will not play this weekend. Michael Thomas, after 11 targets last week, continues to be the favorite option for Drew Brees but he hasn’t scored in for straight games and has just two touchdowns on the season which limits the overall upside. He also gets a tougher matchup this week vs. the Bills who rank 14th in DVOA vs. the pass and 16th in DraftKings points allowed to wideouts. Golden Tate of the Lions has split targets with Marvin Jones this season but like Thomas is a more of a cash game, high-floor type player with just two touchdowns on the season. The matchup is also a bit tricky to figure out as the Browns rank 28th in DVOA vs. the pass but rank 8th overall in Draftkings points allowed to wideouts. I tend to lean towards them being a good defense vs. the pass as Jason McCourty ranks 2nd overall and Briean Boddy-Calhoun ranks 13th overall in PFF’s cornerback rankings. When analyzing the running backs in this tier, they both have somewhat favorable game scripts as both the Vikings and Bears are favorites in their respective matchups. I tend to lean towards Jordan Howard who gets a matchup vs. the Packers who rank 25th in DraftKings points per game allowed to running backs while McKinnon faces a Redskins team that ranks 15th in that category.  The other key is that Howard is seeing a 62% snap count share on the season while McKinnon is seeing just 43% of the snaps.

Top Targets in this Tier – Jordan Howard, Golden Tate

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

Tier 4

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

In the first quarterback tier, I have a feeling that Matt Stafford and Ben Roethlisberger will be the chalky options as both teams are currently sitting as double-digit favorites and projected for the most points on the slate. Stafford is coming off an impressive Monday Night Football win in Green Bay where he completed 26 of 33 passes for 361 yards and two touchdowns. After not throwing for 300+ yards in his first five games of the season, he has now down so in three straight putting up 20+ DraftKings points in each. With the Lions lack of a running game(79.9 yards per game) and the Browns ranking 28th in DVOA vs. the pass, Stafford could be in for another big week. Roethlisberger also gets a top matchup this week vs. a Colts team that has allowed the second most yards per game through the air(279.7) and ranks 27th in DraftKings points per game allowed to the quarterback. In the Bills/Saints game, I lean Drew Brees as the Saints rank 4th in passing yards per game(269.8) while the Bills rank 30th(186.9). The other key factor in play is that the Saints much-improved defense ranks 12th in passing yards per game allowed(210.5) and 4th overall when looking at DVOA vs. the pass. Finally, one of the most surprising quarterbacks of the season has been Josh McCown who sits second in completion percentage(70.4%) and 12th in passing yards(1,980) despite the Jets ranking 24t in DVOA passing. He also gets a plus matchup this week facing a Bucs team that ranks 31st in DVOA vs. the pass and 27th in DraftKings points allowed to the quarterback position.

Top Targets in this Tier – Matt Stafford, Josh McCown

Tier 5

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

Tier 5 presents some very tough decisions as all four quarterbacks playing at home get tough matchups vs. teams that rank inside the Top 10 in DraftKings points allowed to the quarterback position and 17th or better when looking at DVOA vs. the pass. Of those four, Kirk Cousins leads the way averaging 19.7 DraftKings points per game but faces a Vikings team coming off a bye week and allowing the seventh-fewest passing yards per game this season(200.8). I won’t be touching Blake Bortles this week who is averaging just 207 yards per game but it has more to do with Leonard Forunette who will be back in the mix and likely to see a large workload after a week off “to rest”. Jacoby Brissett is another quarterback I will be avoiding this week facing a stout Steelers pass defense that has allowed the second-fewest passing yards per game(180) and third-fewest DraftKings points per game to the position. The two options at the top of my list are Marcus Mariota who is coming off a two-touchdown performance but more importantly, is back using his legs with 14 rushing attempts over the past two weeks. At the top of my list in this tier is on the other side of the ball where Andy Dalton gets the only matchup of the five QB’s against a defense ranked outside the Top 20 in DVOA vs. the pass. Hopefully, his top target in A.J. Green can remain on the field for the entire game and if he does I think Dalton has a shot at leading this tier in fantasy points this week.

Top Targets in this Tier – Andy Dalton, Marcus Mariota

Tier 6

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

Aaron Jones is the only running back in the sixth tier and very well could be the lowest owned coming off a terrible week where he rushed for just 12 yards. The big risk with Jones is the fact he will be working in a committee with Ty Montgomery. Next up, we got both Vikings starting receivers and it really comes down to the rest of your lineup construction. If you took some risks in other tiers, I would suggest going with Thielen who has been very consistent this season with 9.4 targets per week and has topped 90 yards in four of his eight games. If it’s upside you’re after, take a shot with Diggs who has topped 90 yards three times(173 in week 3) and has two multi-touchdown games. The biggest risk with the Vikings wideouts is the matchup as they travel to Washington to face a Josh Norman and the Redskins who rank 11th in DVOA vs. the pass and have allowed the fifth-fewest DraftKings points per game. I think a lot of people will be chasing the points with T.Y. Hilton this week after his explosive performance in Week 9 where he tallied 175 yards on just five catches and scored twice. The problem this week is that the matchup is much tougher against the Steelers who rank 5th in DVOA vs. the pass and have allowed the second-fewest DraftKings points per game to wideouts. Speaking of tough matchups, Marvin Jones Jr. also gets a tough matchup as he is likely to see shadow coverage from Jason McCourty who ranks second overall on PFF’s cornerback rankings this season. Then we have JuJu Smith-Schuster who will be working out of the slot for the Steelers and gets a terrific matchup vs. the Colts who have allowed the second most passing yards per game(279.7), rank 25th in DVOA vs. the pass, and have allowed the seventh-most DraftKings points per game to wideouts. He is also likely to see coverage from Pierre Desir who ranks 102nd of 115 eligible cornerbacks on the PFF rankings.

Top Targets in this Tier – JuJu Smith-Schuster, Adam Thielen

Tier 7

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

In the seventh tier, I will start with a couple players I will be avoiding and it starts with Jordy Nelson who has been irrelevant since losing his starting quarterback, Aaron Rodgers, to injury in Week 6. The next fade for me is DeSean Jackson of the Bucs who has had a tough time since changing teams in 2017 with just 422 yards receiving and has only broke 50 yards once in his last four games. Adding to that is the fact that he also lost his starting quarterback, Jameis Winston, who will be sitting out a couple weeks with multiple injuries. I am shocked to be saying this but one of the most consistent options in this tier has been Tedd Ginn Jr. as he has broke 50 yards in four straight games scoring two touchdowns and even breaking 100 yards in that time. When teams have put emphasis on shutting down Michael Thomas, he has been a top target for Drew Brees alongside rookie running back Alvin Kamara. While the Bills have some very talented corners, they rank 26th in passing yards allowed(250.3) this season. That leaves Chris Thompson who operates as the Redskins passing down running back and has been very successful this season ranking seventh in targets per game(5.8) among running backs and has recorded double-digit fantasy points in six of his eight games. Then we have one of the biggest surprises of the season at any position with Robby Anderson who leads the Jets with 6.3 targets per game and has exceeded 75 yards three times and comes in red-hot scoring a touchdown in three straight games. I have a good feeling he can keep that streak going as he gets an elite matchup vs. the Bucs who rank 31st in DVOA vs. the pass and have allowed the second-most DraftKings points per game to wideouts.

Top Targets in this Tier – Robby Anderson, Chris Thompson

Tier 8

Daily Fantasy DraftKings Pickem Strategy Week 10 - Lineuplab.com

To start with, we have some injuries to monitor as Sunday approaches. After his best game of the season and out-snapping Bilal Powell in three straight weeks, Matt Forte missed practice on Wednesday with swelling in his surgically-repaired knee. Delanie Walker also missed practice on Wednesday with an injured ankle but his status is a little better as he played through the injury last week and led the team in receiving yards. The questionable tag might keep people off him this week presenting some low ownership in this tier with big upside as Marcus Mariota’s favorite target. I will be avoiding Keenan Allen this week who not only has disappointed with just one score this year but also gets a terrible matchup vs. the Jags who lead the league in passing yards allowed per game(156.4), DVOA vs. the pass, and DraftKings points per game allowed to wideouts. The Kelvin Benjamin situation is another one I will be fading due to it being his first game with a new offense after coming over in a trade at the deadline and it doesn’t help he gets a tough matchup vs. a much-improved Saints defense that ranks 4th in DVOA vs. the pass. I need to see how he fits in before restoring him this season. Since Brett Hundley has taken over as the Packers quarterback, it has been Devante Adams leading the team with 25 targets, 14 receptions and 119 yards with one touchdown. The Packers get a tough matchup but Adams is likely to lead the team once again and it is a near must-win situation for the team to keep their playoff hopes alive. I mentioned above how I will be fading Blake Bortles of the Jags as 1. he has no upside and 2. they rely heavily on Leonard Fournette. This is a tough tier and I do feel we can turn to Marqise Lee who has received double-digit targets in two of his last three weeks and now leads the team with 7.3 per game on the season. He has also topped 75 or more yards in three straight games and scored his first touchdown last week vs. the Bengals. We will also have to monitor his status at practice on Thursday and Friday as he wasn’t present on Wednesday but according to Jags beat writers, hasn’t practiced since mid-October but has not missed a game.

Top Target in this Tier – Devante Adams, Marqise Lee

 

Thanks for reading and if you have any questions leading up to Sunday morning lineup lock, be sure to hit me up on Twitter(@Jager_Bombs9). Good luck everyone!






Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 10

*Mike Barner*

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations – Week 10

Get our NFL Seasonal package for 50% off for a LIMITED TIME using code "NLA5017"

Get our NFL Seasonal package for 50% off for a LIMITED TIME using code “NLA5017”

There are only four teams on a bye this week, leaving you with more options for your DFS entry. Thank goodness as very valuable players continue to go down with injuries. Let’s examine some of the better options taking the field for Week 10. Put your favorite daily fantasy football recommendations from the article below in our lineup optimizer and hit calculate. You can let it fill in the rest of the spots for you or choose your personal favorites from the NFL Player Lab.

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations

**QUARTERBACKS**

Matthew Stafford vs. Cleveland Browns
Stadium – Ford Field
DraftKings = $6,800
FanDuel = $8,200

Stafford has put up some monster numbers of late as he has thrown for 1,096 yards and five touchdowns over this last three games. He has done an excellent job cutting down on turnovers as well as he only has four total interceptions this season. The Lions have continued to struggle to run the ball, leaving the offensive burden on the shoulders of Stafford. This a great match up at home against a Browns defense that is tied for the third most passing touchdowns allowed (16) this season.

Josh McCown vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Raymond James Stadium
DraftKings = $6,100
FanDuel = $7,400

Thought to be one of the worst teams in the NFL heading into this season, McCown and the Jets have been a pleasant surprise. Even though he has limited weapons on offense, McCown has thrown for 1,980 yards and 13 touchdowns overall. He also has a career-high 70.4% completion percentage. Not to be overlooked, he has chipped in three rushing touchdowns as well. The Buccaneers have one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL, making McCown a viable option for your lineup again this week.

Ryan Fitzpatrick vs. New York Jets
Stadium – Raymond James Stadium
DraftKings = $4,900
FanDuel = $6,100

Fitzpatrick takes over as the starting quarterback this week in place of Jameis Winston who is dealing with a shoulder injury. Fitzpatrick has actually come into games twice this season due to a Winston injury, throwing for 358 yards and four touchdowns total. This is a favorable match up against the Jets as they have allowed the most passing touchdowns (19) in the NFL this season. Throw in the fact that he will be highly motivated to succeed against his old team and you get a very intriguing dirt cheap DFS option.

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations

**RUNNING BACKS**

Le’Veon Bell vs. Indianapolis Colts
Stadium – Lucas Oil Stadium
DraftKings = $9,800
FanDuel = $9,400

Bell had a relatively quiet performance for his standards in his last game against the Lions as he complied 76 rushing yards, five receiving yards on two receptions and one rushing touchdown. That just goes to show you how high his floor is though. Week 10 brings a great match up against the Colts who have allowed the most rushing touchdowns (10) in the NFL this season. Expect a heavy work load and big numbers from Bell.

Alvin Kamara vs. Buffalo Bills
Stadium – New Era Stadium
DraftKings = $6,900
FanDuel = $7,000

Kamara had his best game of the season against the Buccaneers last week as he produced 152 total yards and two touchdowns. Now with a significant role in the Saints offense, Kamara has at least 87 total yards in four of his last five games. His big play ability gives him significant value as he is averaging 6.0 yards per carry and 9.0 yards per reception. The Bills allowed 96 total yards and two touchdowns to Jets running back Matt Forte last week, leaving Kamara with significant upside in this game as well.

Orleans Darkwa vs. San Francisco 49ers
Stadium – Levi’s Stadium
DraftKings = $4,500
FanDuel = $5,300

If you watched the beginning of the Giants game last week, it was clear they wanted to establish the run early with Darkwa. He rattled off some nice gains, but ultimately saw his workload limited for the game when it became a blowout. Even with the lopsided score, Darkwa had 16 carries for 71 yards and two receptions for eight yards. It’s tough to be a running back on an offense with so few quality receivers to keep defenses honest, but Darkwa still has at least 69 rushing yards in three of his last four games. Against an equally bad team in the 49ers, Darkwa could be in for a significant workload Sunday.

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations

**WIDE RECEIVERS**

Antonio Brown vs. Indianapolis Colts
Stadium – Lucas Oil Stadium
DraftKings = $9,500
FanDuel = $9,300

Brown has been relatively quiet the last two games, hauling in 135 total receiving yards. One of those games came against the Bengals tough pass defense, so don’t get overly concerned. He had at least 155 receiving yards in each of the two games prior to this recent lull. Week 10 brings a match up against a Colts defense that is allowing the second most net passing yards per game. Look for Brown to get back on track with a big performance.

JuJu Smith-Schuster vs. Indianapolis Colts
Stadium – Lucas Oil Stadium
DraftKings = $5,600
FanDuel = $6,500

Smith-Schuster exploded in his last game against the Lions as he hauled in seven of 10 targets for 193 yards and a touchdown. He has clearly surpassed Martavis Bryant on the Steelers depth chart and has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games. It’s not always a comfortable feeling to like two wide receivers on the same team in a week, but the Colts pass defense is that bad. The price is right to roll with Smith-Schuster.

Marvin Jones Jr. vs. Cleveland Browns
Stadium – Ford Field
DraftKings = $6,200
FanDuel = $6,400

To say Jones is on a hot streak is an understatement. It’s no coincidence that Stafford’s increased production over the last three games has had a positive impact on Jones as Jones has 331 receiving yards and three touchdowns over that stretch. The key for Jones is that he saw at least 11 targets in all three of those games. Stafford and Jones are locked in at the moment, so look for Jones to take advantage of the Browns this week as well.

Sterling Shepard vs. San Francisco 49ers
Stadium – Levi’s Stadium
DraftKings = $5,500
FanDuel = $5,700

Shepard returned from injury last week and caught five of nine targets for 70 yards against the Rams. It could have been an even bigger day if quarterback Eli Manning hadn’t battled accuracy issues throughout the game. With so few quality options left at wide receiver for the Giants, Shepard is going to get all the targets he can handle over the rest of the season. Even on a bad offense, Shepard provides value at this price based on volume alone.

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations

**TIGHT ENDS**

Evan Engram vs. San Francisco 49ers
Stadium – Levi’s Stadium
DraftKings = $6,200
FanDuel = $7,400

With all the injuries the Giants have dealt with, their rookie tight end Engram is probably the most talented skill player they have left. He has been a target monster of late, receiving 29 targets over the last three games. He has cashed those in by producing at least 60 receiving yards and one touchdown in all three contests. Expect him to be heavily involved again Sunday and be one of the best tight end options for Week 10.

Garrett Celek vs. New York Giants
Stadium – Levi’s Stadium
DraftKings = $2,500
FanDuel = $4,500

The Giants can’t defend tight ends as they have allowed 565 receiving yards and nine touchdowns to them this season. Last week they gave up a touchdown to tight end Tyler Higbee, who only had 14 receptions and no touchdowns for the entire season.  George Kittle has already been ruled out with an injury this week, leaving Celek to feast on the Giants. He won’t cost you much, so he’s worth the minimal risk based on the match up.

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations

**DEFENSES/SPECIAL TEAMS**

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Stadium – EverBank Field
DraftKings = $3,900
FanDuel = $5,200

The Jaguars defense has been excellent all season as the lead the NFL in sacks (35) and are tied for the third most interceptions (10). They have scored a touchdown in three of the last five games  and have allowed a total of 31 points over their last four games. Keep going to the well with the Jaguars, it’s not even close to running dry.

Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
Stadium – Soldier Field
DraftKings = $3,000
FanDuel = $4,300

The Bears defense only has four interceptions this season, but they have been able to get to the quarterback with 23 sacks. The main reason I like them this week is that they get to play against a Packers offense that is a shell of it’s normal self with Aaron Rodgers injured. Brett Hundley hasn’t thrown for a touchdown in either of his last two games, which would have been complete disasters had he not at least rushed for two touchdowns. The Packers will continue to struggle to score points, making the Bears one of the best cheap options for the week.

Daily Fantasy Football: NFL DFS Week 1 Cash and GPP Picks

Quarterbacks:

Daily Fantasy Football - Marcus Mariota - Lineuplab.com

Quarterback is the most underpriced position in both Draftkings and Fanduel. The main reason why the quarterback position is wildly underpriced is that there isn’t a large gap between the top scoring QB opposed to the 12th scoring QB. It also has to due in large part with the fact that their scoring is weighted lower than other positions. QB’s receive 4 points per touchdown and 1 point for every 25 yards gained. If you play on Draftkings they give a bonus for quarterbacks that throw over 300 yards. That may alter your decision making because it makes quarterbacks more reliant on touchdowns in FanDuel than in Draftkings. Now that we broke down the scoring discrepancies, let’s take a look at a few quarterbacks you should be targeting for both cash and gpp games.

Cash:

Marcus Mariota (DK $6,700, FD $7,700)
Mariota comes into week 1 as the consensus chalk quarterback. The 6th highest priced QB on DK and 7th highest priced QB on FD, Mariota won’t be heavily owned because of his bargain price. Instead, Mariota will likely be the highest owned QB in cash games because of his favorable Vegas totals. The Titans come into week one as a 3.5 point favorite against the Raiders in a game that features the highest over/under 50.5. This high over/under gives the Titans an implied total of 26.5 points, good enough for second on this slate only behind the Steelers. Quarterbacks with similar Vegas totals have gone on to perform well in the past. Mariota has had the best red zone touchdown efficiency rating since joining the league in 2015. When you add up all that and include that the Raiders had one of the worst secondaries in the league last season, you can see why Mariota is expected to be the highest owned quarterback.

GPP:

Russell Wilson (DK $ 6,900, FD $8,000)
After a let down 2016 season, Wilson finds himself looking to hit the refresh button. His fantasy production last season took a dip because he only rushed for 259 yards on the season with one rushing touchdown. It’s been heavily reported that Wilson changed his workout routine over the offseason and is looking to recapture his 2015 form this season. Well, week 1 is a nice opportunity for Wilson to put his new offseason regime to the test against the Packers. The Packers allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game last season and did hardly anything to improve their secondary in the offseason. This game opened up with an over/under just under 50 but has since increased to 51, giving this game the highest over/under on the slate. The Seahawks are on road underdogs, and that generally isn’t a recipe for success, but the Packers secondary is bad enough for you to consider taking a flier on Wilson in tournaments.

Plays worth considering in Cash & GPP:

Matt Ryan (DK $6,900, FD $8,500) – The Falcons are tied for 1st on the slate for implied team points with 27.5. Matt Ryan is going up against a Bears defense that is significantly improved in the front seven and new offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian could look to air it out in their first game to get Falcon’s fans over their 28-3 blown Super Bowl win. However, Ryan does come with some red flags as he is playing on the road and there truly is no way of telling how the offense will function without Kyle Shanahan.

Ben Roethlisberger ($DK 7,300, FD $8,200) – Big Ben comes in with the same implied team total as the Falcons. He’s playing an abysmal Browns team and is an 8.5 point favorite. Ben will have his full assortment of weapons to his use with the return of LeVeon Bell and Martavis Bryant. The concern here is Ben’s home and road splits.

Running Backs

Daily Fantasy Football - Carlos Hyde - San Francisco 49ers

The running back position is almost always dominated by Le’Veon Bell (DK $9,800, FD $9,300) and David Johnson (DK $9,400, FD $9,400). This week is no different. Both are elite plays and expect to be the highest owned backs in this slate. Now the question is if you can play both of them. The answer is yes. There’s certainly enough value in other positions that allow you to make your lineup construction with these two elite backs. But if you have to choose one over the other I like Johnson over Bell because of the simple fact that the game has a closer spread and David Johnson plays for a Cardinal team that has fewer mouths to feed than the Steelers.

Chalk

Todd Gurley (DK $6,000, FD $7,300)
If you’re looking for a chalk alternative from the two safe, elite backs look no further than Todd Gurley. More of a value on Draftkings than Fanduel, Gurley comes into week 1 in an elite spot. The Rams are currently home favorite against the Andrew Luck-less Colts and have seen the Vegas line shift them from 3 point underdogs to 4 point favorites. With a poor offensive line and Jeff Fisher calling the plays last season, Gurley had a letdown year after being selected as the number 1 RB in most season-long drafts last season. This year the Rams have made some moves to improve their offensive line and also brought in Sean McVay to jumpstart their offense. Gurley should have an ample amount of opportunities to get to the 100 yard DK bonus and could even fall into the endzone.

GPP

Carlos Hyde (DK $4,600, FD $6,800)
If you’re looking for a cheap running back in your roster construction, Carlos Hyde is your answer. With Joe William landing on the IR and Tim Hightower being a surprise cut out of the 49ers camp, Hyde only has to share targets with undrafted rookie Matt Breida. Hyde should be a lock for 25 touches with Kyle Shanahan calling the plays now and his price on both sites could help open up salary in other roster spots.

 

Wide Receivers

Daily Fantasy Football - Amari Cooper - Lineuplab.com

Depending on lineup construction, wide receiver could be where you really differentiate yourself from the field. The top 3 studs are all in strong positions. Antonio Brown (DK $ 8,800, FD $9,100), Julio Jones (DK $8,500, FD $9,000), and AJ Green (DK $8,000, FD $ 8,400) are all in spots where we can see them have a big game. But let’s take an audible into some plays that people may be overlooking

Doug Baldwin (DK $6,700, FD $7,500)
I mentioned how the Seahawks passing offense was in a good spot against the Packers. The game flow looks to be in Baldwin’s favor as the Packers had the worst secondary in the league last season, and quite frankly their cornerbacks don’t scare any passing attack. Baldwin will face either Quinten Rollins, Davon House, or Damarious Randall neither was graded higher than top 50 of Pro Football Focus Cornerback Rankings.

Kendall Wright (DK $3,200, FD $5,200)
Kendall Wright looks poised to take advantage of a Bears receiving corp that is extremely depleted after losing Cameron Meredith for the season. Although Wright is not listed as the number two receiver behind Kevin White, Wright will be on the field in three wide receiver sets. That may sound concerning, but during preseason the first-team Bears offense ran three wide receiver sets 14 out of their 15 plays, so Wright is a sneaky cheap option to get some much volume. Wright was signed by the Bears after his previous work with offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains. Under Loggains, Wright saw and an average of 8.7 targets per game back in 2013. In a game that the Bears are heavy underdogs against the Falcons, the offense could be throwing the ball more than 40 times opening up cheap targets for Wright to snag.

Amari Cooper (DK $7,200, FD $7,600)
Amari Cooper should be another popular play. Playing in the game with the highest over/under on the slate, Cooper is going to have an ample of opportunities to bring in targets. The Titans last season ranked in the bottom of the league in points per game allowed to wide receiver, and with a duel of Cooper and Crabtree, the Raiders passing game could be in store for a big game.

Larry Fitzgerald (DK $5,900, FD $6,400)
Fitz is a veteran that could be heavily owned in this first few weeks. The one thing about the vet is that he has some drastic splits from the first half of the season and the second. Fitzgerald has averaged 13.9 points in the first 6 games of the season compared to 11.3 games in the second half. The Cardinals passing offense faces the Lions who were 32nd in DVOA.

** Fanduel only ** Terrelle Pryor (FD $6,200) is extremely underpriced in Fanduel. Although his preseason action with Kirk Cousins left a lot to be desired, Pryor should see a massive target amount.

Tight End

Daily Fantasy Football - Zach Ertz - Philadelphia Eagles

Drafting a tight end in DFS is often dependent on the site you play. In Draftkings touchdowns become less important than targets, while on Fanduel touchdowns valued higher than targets/receptions.

Chalk

Draftkings – Zach Ertz (DK $4,300, FD $6,100)
Ertz is the uber chalk on Draftkings. With the Eagles getting rid of Jordan Matthews and Alshon Jeffery expecting to be shadowed by Josh Norman, Ertz becomes the immediate beneficiary of targets from Carson Wentz. Ertz doesn’t have the touchdown upside that others like Jared Cook or Tyler Eifert may have, but his price and volume make him a nice cash play on Draftkings.

Fanduel – Tyler Eifert (DK $4,600, FD $6,100)
Eifert is an example of how site determines what would be the better player. With Green sucking up most of the targets, Eifert is left with minimal targets. Fortunately for Eifert, he scored on over 40% of his targets last season. Although that number is likely to regress, Eifert is at a good price for such a volatile position.

Defense

Daily Fantasy Football - Los Angeles Rams - Lineuplab.com

Los Angeles Rams (DK $3,200, FD $4,600)
The Rams’ defense is in a good spot as a 4 point home favorite against a team that doesn’t have their starting quarterback. The Colts could very much be a train wreck come Sunday, and although the Rams will likely be without their All-Pro Aaron Donald, their defense should be able to handle Scott Tolzien and Frank Gore.

Houston Texans (DK $3,800, FD 5,100)
The Texans are the chalkiest defense with the highest upside. Aside from the fact that they are with the most talented defense in a prime matchup, they get to face Blake Bortles. Bortles looked dreadful this preseason and last year ranked in the bottom-10 in interception rate (3.7%). They are the most expensive defensive option out of the other chalk defense.

 

 

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy 101 – Season Long

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy 101

It’s that time of the year again. That time when you dust off your football jerseys and start getting text messages from your buddies talking about when your league draft day will be. Fantasy Football has become society’s latest epidemic and has become the ultimate way for friends, family, or even strangers to bond. And by bond, I mean to trash talk. Trash talk for four months. That’s if you are winning.

The key to winning is almost entirely linked to a good draft. Drafting can be complicated. There’s nothing worse than when you have your next pick in your queue list and the person before you snags him up before it’s your turn. Good times, good times.

But that’s why I’m writing this draft strategy outline let’s call it. That picture I painted above is going to happen, but it’s the teams that are able to think on their toes that end up making the playoffs and evidently winning a championship. So enough rambling. Let’s get to it.

Dividing the Draft Round

Creating a Ranking System

Creating Rounds/Position Tiers

Splitting the Draft in 3’s

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy 101 - Season Strategies via Lineuplab.com

When I approach a draft, I found that dividing the draft rounds into sections is a helpful way to determine what my goal is in that round. I separate rounds into three sections. The Early Section, Meat Section, and the Late Section. Here’s a breakdown of the thought process during each of these sections.

“Early Section” or Rounds 1-5

Naturally, you’d expect the early section to be the most important aspect of your team. And it is to some extent, it is, after all these are supposed to be the best players on your team. But when I pick in the early section I’m not looking for “safe players.” Safe doesn’t win you championships and doesn’t always provide the best value. I look for players who have a high ceiling (meaning they can have a breakout game any given week), but players who also have a high floor (a good amount of base points to account for those weeks they don’t happen to have a breakout week).

Everyone always wants their first round pick to score 3 touchdowns and when they do you’ll likely win the week. But it’s when they don’t is when it that hurts your team’s overall performance. Finding a player with a good balance of high floor and ceiling helps in these early rounds helps you eliminate this problem.

“Meat Section” or Rounds 6-10

The middle aka meat section is where things unravel, but at least in my opinion, this is where leagues are won. Players you thought would be available during this section are no longer available, and players you thought would be gone in this section are magically still on the board. What I look for here is still a high ceiling, but the difference from the early section is that I’m willing to sacrifice the floor of the players.

In this section, we find players like DeSean Jackson or Adrian Peterson who are players that may not give us the greatest consistency but do provide big games upside in certain situations. Now it’s important to note; I’m not giving up on a good floor (base) all entirely. I’m still looking for players who are part of the offensive gameplan and provide real upside to have double-digit games.

“Late Section” or Rounds – 11-16

This is my ‘boom or bust” section. At this point, you already have your starting lineup already drafted and are starting to fill in the bench players. In this section, I sacrifice the necessity of a good floor, meaning I’m solely looking for players with high upside because they could provide a big boost to a team that already has a good balance between floor and ceiling. While there are instances where you’d want to draft a corresponding player that may be injured or suspended to begin the season, this is a good section to pick those players.

One thing I see a lot of fantasy players do wrong is draft players that they think would be best replacements for bye weeks or if one of their starting players gets injured. Those outcomes to me are situations you deal with on a weekly basis, and that’s what the waiver wire is for. But not on draft day. Draft day is about securing a team with the highest possible ceiling while maintaining a solid base for expected points.

*Writer’s Note* Don’t be the team that drafts the Broncos or Stephen Gostkowski before your final two rounds. These positions are interchangeable with the waiver wire, and often the points difference isn’t significant enough to justify passing on a player with good potential.

So now you’ve split the draft and have an idea for what players you are expecting. Now let’s put it all together and build a ranking system.

Creating a Ranking System

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy 101 - Season Strategies via Lineuplab.com - Ranking System - Le'Veon Bell - David Johnson

There are several ways you can go about drafting a fantasy football team. One,  you can prepare your butt off so that you know team depth charts like the back of your hand. Two follow whatever site rankings that are defaulted when you sit in front of your computer. Or Three you could not prepare at all and just let auto pick choose the top guy available.

If you’re not one of those guys who could set his team on auto pick and still make the playoff,  I’d recommend approaching your fantasy football draft is a mixture of 1 and 2. Not everyone has the time to read every team preview and memorize each team’s depth chart, so we need to find a way to be more efficient with our time. Here’s how I start.

The biggest thing that will help you build a solid core to your team is creating your own rankings. Whatever site you use whether it’s ESPN, Yahoo, CBS Sports, or even NFL, DON”T rely on whatever is automated in your draft room. Most casual fantasy players draft based on the default rankings in the draft room, by following them you limit yourself to finding players with greater value.

If you’re not comfortable creating your own rankings from scratch, take some time to look at other analyst rankings. Find two or three that you agree with and average the player’s rankings out. By doing that you’ll not only have expert type guidance, but you’ll be customizing it so that you have the final say on creating YOUR team based on YOUR rankings.

You’ll see a lot of Top 50 or Top 100 rankings. Here’s where the customization of your league comes to play. If you’re playing in a 10 team league, you don’t need to rank more than the top 50 players. If you’re playing in a 12 team league, that’s when you’d want to stretch the rankings to a top 60. The reason for this is you want to have coverage on players you like for at least the first 5 rounds.

Once you have your own “consensus” rankings, you’re ready to draft. Now here’s the key. No matter where you are slotted to be drafting, the key here is staying committed to your rankings.

By staying committed to your rankings, you’re finding players that you value more than others and have more control of your team.

Let’s say your heart was set on drafting a running back in the first round, but you have the fifth pick, and both David Johnson and Le’Veon Bell are gone. That doesn’t mean you should force your way to draft LeSean McCoy when receivers like Mike Evans or A.J. Green, who offer better value are likely still available. At least according to my board.

A big reason to keep following your rankings is so that you don’t reach for players in a draft position that they are not worth (according to your rankings). If the player you think you want to select is not the first player on your rankings list, chances are you’re reaching for that player and passing up on a player with better value.

Follow your rankings list to the core for at least the first 3 rounds. After the first three rounds, you evaluate your team. You could be looking at a situation where you drafted three straight wide receivers. That’s not necessarily a bad thing this year when you consider that running backs ranked from 5-14 all have question marks, but at some point you need to draft running backs.

If you find yourself in this situation, use your rankings to find the best available non-wide receiver position player available. You want to make sure you have a decent balance but aren’t forcing picks that make you end up losing value.

A good way I found that’s helpful in keeping my roster balance in the first 5 rounds is creating round tiers. What that means is your labeling the players on your rankings into positional order.

Draft Tiers

Fantasy Football Draft Strategy 101 - Season Strategies via Lineuplab.com - Antonio Brown - Odell Beckham Jr.

Create tiers based on your league size and by round. Say you play in a 12 team league you’d want to have 12 players in your first tier, second, and so on and so forth. This helps you visualize what round you would expect your top 60 players to go. So for a 60-player rankings you will have 5 tiers.

Once you have the over players tiers, then you separate the tiers by positions. If you noticed 6 running backs were in the first 12 players (tier 1) then you would classify those 6 running backs as RB Tier 1. You may notice that you don’t have any tight ends or quarterbacks expected to go in the first round and this is when you place value into the tiers.

Say I have 6 running backs and 6 receivers going in the first round. That would mean my first tier of wide receivers and running backs would be valued in the 1st round. You continue to do these positional tiers until you have 12 players from the same position in that tier. Then you check what’s that last player’s projected round and place value on the tier.

WR Tier 1

  1. A. Brown
  2. J. Jones
  3. O. Beckham Jr.
  4. M. Evans
  5. A. Green
  6. J. Nelson
  7. M. Thomas
  8. D. Bryant
  9. T. Hilton
  10. B. Cooks
  11. A. Cooper
  12. D. Baldwin

Starting with my top receiver to my 12th this tier should last me up until round 3, meaning this tier would be “WR Tier 1-3.” What this is saying is that I would be willing to draft anyone of these receivers within as long as it’s round 3. If anyone of these players should be available in round 4 I’ve found tremendous value.

Now you can choose to create tiers the way I do, or you can choose to create tiers based on players you would draft in that round. For example, if I’d break that tier down into rounds it would sort out like this.

WR Tier 1 Round

  1. A. Brown
  2. J. Jones
  3. O. Beckham Jr.
  4. M. Evans
  5. A. Green

WR Tier 2 Round

  1. J. Nelson
  2. M. Thomas
  3. D. Bryant
  4. T. Hilton

WR Tier 3 Round

  1. B. Cooks
  2. A. Cooper
  3. D. Baldwin

The problem I have with this is that I’m leaving out other players that I would consider drafting at the end of the 3rd round. There are receivers I would consider drafting in the 3rd round, but they didn’t make the top 12 of the position. That’s why I choose to sort it out based on teams and put the round value based on where that tier starts and ends.

Bring it All Home

I know that was a lot of information to take in so I thought I’d leave you with some nuggets at the end.

  • Divide your draft into separate parts to place value on the rounds/players you pick.
  • Create your own Top 50/60 ranking to cover your first 5 rounds.
  • Divide your Top 50/60 rankings into positional Tiers to help you view the value of the round you are picking them in.
  • Do not lock into any specific position in the first round. Follow your rankings and after 3 rounds evaluate how balanced (position wise) your team is.

Extra Point

Just because the top guy in your positional tier gets drafted doesn’t mean you need to rush into drafting the next guy on the board (i.e., Gronkowski gets picked there’s no need for you to rush to draft a tight end).

For my next article, I’ll cover a specific strategy for when to draft Quarterbacks and Tight Ends. I’ll give you my opinion on where to draft Ezekiel Elliott and other promising rookie running backs. As well as dive into pick strategies for first three rounds.