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MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

June special! Use Code MCMLB50 at checkout

Wednesday’s main evening slate in DFS is light on excellent starting pitchers, so there could be plenty of runs scored throughout baseball. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

Kyle Gibson vs. Chicago White Sox
Stadium – Guaranteed Rate Field
FanDuel = $8,300
DraftKings = $8,500

Gibson entered 2018 having finished with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of at least 1.53 in both of the last two seasons. This year has been a different story as he enters Wednesday with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He has been aided by a .254 opponents BABIP, but he also has an 8.7 K/9 after posting a 6.5 K/9 for his career. He has allowed two runs or fewer in five straight games and had success in his first start against the White Sox this season, allowing three runs and recording eight strikeouts in 6.2 innings. On a night short of elite pitchers, Gibson is shaping up to be one of the best options available.

Wade LeBlanc vs. Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Oriole Park at Camden Yards
FanDuel = $6,500
DraftKings = $7,800

LeBlanc pitched exclusively out of the bullpen for the Pirates last year, posting a 4.50 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Without much starting pitching depth, the Mariners have had to turn to LeBlanc to fill out the back end of their rotation. He’s exceeded expectations so far, posting a 2.91 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP across 10 starts. His .292 opponents BABIP is right in line with his career numbers, so he hasn’t exactly been getting lucky. One big reason for his improvement is getting opponents to swing at 36.3% of his pitches outside of the strike zone, which is six percentage points higher than his career mark. The Orioles have scored the second-fewest runs (285) and have the third-worst OPS against left-handed pitchers (.664) in baseball, so LeBlanc might be worth the risk in tournament play at this cheap price.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

Paul Goldschmidt vs. Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins
Stadium – Marlins Park
FanDuel = $4,300
DraftKings = $5,400

Goldschmidt is currently on an eight-game hitting streak and has done a great job rebounding from an abysmal start. He’s batting .380 with 10 home runs in June while finally providing owners in season-long fantasy with the type of production they expected when they selected him in the first round. He has a 197 wRC+ against lefties and will get to face a struggling one in Chen, who has a 6.70 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP.

Buster Posey vs. Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $3,200
DraftKings = $4,200

Posey doesn’t put up flashy numbers, but he’s not exactly hitting poorly with a .285 average and a .364 OBP. He has just five home runs and has only hit at least 20 home runs in a season twice in his career, so don’t expect him to go on a power surge anytime soon. He can still provide a lot of value, though, against Freeland since Posey has a .390 wOBA against lefties.

Others to consider: Matt Olson (first base) and Carlos Santana (first base)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

Brian Dozier vs. James Shields, Chicago White Sox
Stadium – Guaranteed Rate Field
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $3,800

Dozier traditionally struggles in the first half of the season and this year has been no different. He has yet to go on a big run, but he does have at least one hit in five of his last six games. Dozier doesn’t have the platoon advantage against Shields, but he has actually performed better this year against righties. He has also had success against Shields in his career, hitting 13-for-42 (.310) with four home runs and a 1.114 OPS.

Ketel Marte vs. Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins
Stadium – Marlins Park
FanDuel = $3,100
DraftKings = $3,600

With Chen on the mound for the Marlins, it’s a good idea to target Diamondback hitters for your entry. Although their lineup is predominantly left-handed, the switch-hitting Marte has an edge because Chen has allowed a .398 wOBA to righties. Marte is also significantly better from the right side of the plate, posting a .366 wOBA against lefties compared to a .261 wOBA against righties.

Others to consider: Javier Baez and Dee Gordon

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

Matt Carpenter vs. Shane Bieber, Cleveland Indians
Stadium – Busch Stadium
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $4,700

Carpenter hit .155 with two home runs in his first 105 plate appearances this season. He’s been a different hitter since then, especially of late as he is batting .319 with eight home runs in his last 104 plate appearances. He has great numbers overall against righties with a .384 wOBA this year, so look to ride is hot bat again Wednesday.

Kyle Seager vs. Alex Cobb, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Oriole Park at Camden Yards
FanDuel = $2,900
DraftKings = $3,800

Seager is hitting only .225 this year in large part because of a career-high 22.2% strikeout rate. He’s still provided value in the power department with 14 home runs, but he’s going to need to cut down on his strikeouts if he’s going to turn things around. The good news for Wednesday is that Cobb doesn’t strike out many hitters and has been prone to giving up crooked numbers as he has allowed at least five earned runs in a game six times already this season.

Others to consider: Max Muncy and Jed Lowrie

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

Jean Segura vs. Alex Cobb, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Oriole Park at Camden Yards
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $4,000

Jumping on the Mariners bandwagon against Cobb, Segura is another player to consider for your entry. He recently missed some time with a forearm infection, but he went 3-for-4 in his second game back Tuesday. He’s been one of the Mariners most consistent hitters this season with a .337 batting average and continues to be aggressive on the basepaths with 14 steals. Cobb allows a lot of baserunners with a 1.63 ERA, setting Segura up nicely for a productive game.

Scott Kingery vs. Luis Cessa, New York Yankees
Stadium – Citizens Bank Park
FanDuel = $2,400
DraftKings = $3,000

The Yankees called up Cessa to give their starters an extra day of rest in preparation for a series against the Red Sox this weekend. He’s pitched both out of the bullpen and in the starting rotation during his career in the majors, posting a 4.41 ERA, 5.40 FIP, and a 1.22 WHIP. He’s an average pitcher even on his best day and doesn’t have overwhelming stuff with a 6.6 K/9. A Phillies stack could pay off Wednesday and Kingery is priced so low that he can really help your budget while still providing some upside in tournament play.

Others to consider: Didi Gregorius and Elvis Andrus

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/27/18

Odubel Herrera vs. Luis Cessa, New York Yankees
Stadium – Citizens Bank Park
FanDuel = $3,900
DraftKings = $5,200

Herrera was one of the hottest hitters in baseball heading into this series against the Yankees but he went 0-for-7 with a walk in the first two games. Don’t expect that slump to last long with Cessa on the mound Wednesday. Hererra also loves hitting at home with a .325 average and eight home runs at Citizens Bank Park compared to a .275 average and five home runs on the road.

Eddie Rosario vs. James Shields, Chicago White Sox
Stadium – Guaranteed Rate Field
FanDuel = $3,800
DraftKings = $5,300

Speaking of hot hitters, Rosario is batting .353 with 14 home runs and a .437 wOBA since May 1st. Maybe one of the most impressive things about Rosario’s excellent first half is that not only are his power numbers up, but he’s also cut his strikeout rate down to 16.9% compared to his 21.3% career mark. He’s particularly excelled against righties with a .416 wOBA.

Brian Anderson vs. Robbie Ray, Arizona Diamondbacks
Stadium – Marlins Park
FanDuel = $3,000
DraftKings = $3,600

Ray will be making his first start since April after suffering an oblique injury. He only threw 66 pitches in his last rehab outing, but with Clay Buchholz getting injured, the Diamondbacks are going with Ray probably one start sooner than they would have liked to. He could be on a pitch limit in this game as a result. Ray can be a dominating pitcher, but he also has a 1.36 WHIP for his career. Anderson has a .369 wOBA against lefties this season and is cheap enough to warrant consideration in tournament play.

Others to consider: Leonys Martin and Manuel Margot

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

June special! Use Code PAMLB30 at checkout

Friday brings the return of a full slate of baseball, but the evening is light on starting pitching overall. It could free you up with more money to operate with than usual for your hitters. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

Sean Newcomb vs. Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – SunTrust Park
FanDuel = $8,900
DraftKings = $10,500

Newcomb was hit hard two starts ago, but he rebounded quickly to record seven strikeouts over six scoreless innings in his last start against the Padres. That marked the fifth time this season that he hasn’t allowed a run in a start, leading to a 2.70 ERA and a 3.23 FIP overall. After finishing with a 1.57 WHIP last year, Newcomb has been much better at limiting baserunners with a 1.18 WHIP. He’s an excellent source for strikeouts as well with a 9.1 K/9. This is a great matchup to take advantage of considering the Orioles have scored the fewest runs (260) in baseball and won’t have the use of the DH playing in Atlanta.

Chris Stratton vs. San Diego Padres
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $7,200
DraftKings = $7,300

With a general lack of high-end starters taking the mound Friday, it’s a good night to take a chance on cheap pitchers. Stratton has allowed more than three earned runs in a start only three times this season, but his 1.35 WHIP is concerning. He’s not a big strikeout pitcher with a 7.1 K/9 for his career and is someone you only want to consider using in the right matchup. That will be the case when he faces the Padres, who are in the bottom-third of the league in runs scored while also posting the lowest OPS (.658) against right-handed pitching. Stratton already faced them once this season and threw seven shutout innings.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

Ian Desmond vs. Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins
Stadium – Coors Field
FanDuel = $4,100
DraftKings = $4,900

The Rockies should be a popular stack with Chen taking the mound. Not only is this game in hitter-friendly Coors Field, but Chen is really struggling with a 5.91 ERA, 5.78 FIP, and a 1.62 WHIP. He’s had problems keeping hitters in the ballpark as well with a 1.8 HR/9. Desmond’s overall numbers are poor this season, but he’s 13-for-38 (.342) with four home runs in his last 11 games. Most of his struggles this year have come against right-handed pitchers as he has a .423 wOBA against lefties.

Buster Posey vs. Clayton Richard, San Diego Padres
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $3,100
DraftKings = $3,800

Posey continues to be a steady contributor for the Giants, hitting .290 with five home runs. He might not hit for a ton of power, but he puts a lot of balls in play with just an 11.5% strikeout rate. Not only does Posey have a .392 wOBA against lefties, but he is 12-for-32 (.375) with two home runs in his career against Richard. Richard is not a strikeout pitcher and he has only struck out Posey one time in his career.

Others to consider: Paul Goldschmidt (first base) and Evan Gattis (catcher)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

Jose Altuve vs. Danny Duffy, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Minute Maid Park
FanDuel = $4,300
DraftKings = $5,400

There are few hitters in the league hotter than Altuve right now, who is 42-for-97 (.433) with five home runs and seven steals in his last 25 games. That has brought his season average up to .347, which would make the third time in the last five seasons that Altuve has hit at least .340. He has great numbers versus a lot of pitchers over the course of his career, including Duffy, who he is 8-for-16 (.500) against.

Daniel Descalso vs. Ivan Nova, Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – PNC Park
FanDuel = $3,000
DraftKings = $3,800

Nova had a couple of great seasons with the Yankees, but he’s generally been an average pitcher over the course of his career. This season has been no different with him posting a 4.42 ERA, 4.15 FIP and a 1.32 WHIP across 13 starts. He doesn’t get a lot of strikeouts and his .369 wOBA against left-handed hitters this year would mark the fourth-straight season where he has allowed a wOBA of at least .361 to lefties. Descalso has a .384 wOBA against righties and could be problematic for Nova.

Others to consider: DJ LeMahieu and Ketel Marte

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

Nolan Arenado vs. Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins
Stadium – Coors Field
FanDuel = $5,100
DraftKings = $5,900

Arenado should be the centerpiece of any Rockies stack against Chen. He’s extremely hot right now, hitting 12-for-29 (.414) with four home runs in his last seven games. His numbers are much better in Coors Field and he has a lofty 235 wRC+ against lefties, so look for him to excel in this game.

Matt Duffy vs. C.C. Sabathia, New York Yankees
Stadium – Tropicana Field
FanDuel = $2,700
DraftKings = $3,900

Duffy is quietly having a very good season for the Rays. He only has four home runs, but he is batting a career-high .317. He’s been aided by a .377 BABIP, but he also made major improvements that have resulted in a 33.7% hard-hit rate. Sabathia has a 2.74 ERA at home this year, but he’s struggled on the road with a 4.13 ERA. Duffy is a cheap option with upside in tournament play if you don’t want to spend big bucks for Arenado.

Others to consider: Alex Bregman and Miguel Andujar

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

Trevor Story vs. Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins
Stadium – Coors Field
FanDuel = $4,400
DraftKings = $5,700

Story’s home and road splits this year are rather staggering. He’s batting only .224 with a .612 OPS on the road, but he is hitting .322 with a 1.191 OPS in Coors Field. Throw in the fact that he has a .436 wOBA against lefties and he could do a lot of damage against Chen.

Marwin Gonzalez vs. Danny Duffy, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Minute Maid Park
FanDuel = $2,500
DraftKings = $3,600

Gonzalez hit .303 for the Astros last year, but he entered the month of June batting only .217. He’s doing his best to dig out of that hole, though, batting .429 since the calendar flipped to June. He’s still not hitting for much power, but he’s a viable cheap option in tournament play considering how poorly Duffy has pitched. Of note, Gonzalez is only shortstop eligible on FanDuel as he is listed at both first base and outfield on DraftKings.

Others to consider: Carlos Correa and Xander Bogaerts

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/22/18

George Springer vs. Danny Duffy, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Minute Maid Park
FanDuel = $4,100
DraftKings = $5,000

The Astros will likely be a popular stack as well. Springer is one of the premier options if you choose to go that route, batting .279 with 15 home runs this season. He’s been one of the best hitters in baseball against left-handed pitchers in recent years, recording a wOBA of at least .400 against them in each of the last four seasons if you include his .419 mark in 2018.

Nick Markakis vs. Alex Cobb, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – SunTrust Park
FanDuel = $3,300
DraftKings = $4,300

The Orioles signing of Cobb has been a disaster so far as he has a 7.14 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP in his first 12 starts. He’s not striking many hitters out and has allowed 1.9 HR/9, which is really troubling when you consider how many runners have reached base against him. Markakis has cooled off some after his torrid start, but he’s had a lot of success against right-handers with a .363 wOBA.

Kole Calhoun vs. Marco Estrada, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Angel Stadium
FanDuel = $2,300
DraftKings = $2,600

Calhoun has been one of the worst hitters in baseball this season with a .158 batting average. He recently spent some time on the DL with a strained oblique and the time off might have been just what he needed to clear his head. In three games since being activated, Calhoun is 4-for-10 with two home runs. Estrada has struggled on the road this year and doesn’t have overpowering stuff, setting up Calhoun as a cheap option who might be worth taking a chance on in tournament play.

Others to consider: Juan Soto and Nomar Mazara

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Earlybird special! Use Code PAMLB10 at checkout

Only two of the 15 games in the majors on Friday have an early start time, leaving you with plenty of options to choose from in DFS. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Gerrit Cole vs. Texas Rangers
Stadium – Minute Maid Park
FanDuel = $10,000
DraftKings = $12,100

The Astros brought in Cole during the offseason after he had an off year with the Pirates, posting a career-high 4.26 ERA. One of the biggest reasons for his jump in ERA is that he allowed 1.4 HR/9, a significant jump over his previous career worse of 0.7 HR/9. Things couldn’t have gone much better for him in his first two starts this season, allowing one run while recording 22 strikeouts in 14 innings. He’s never had a K/9 above 9.0 previously in his career, so it’s unlikely he will be able to keep up at this pace. He does get a favorable matchup Friday against a Rangers team that is missing both Elvis Andrus (elbow) and Rougned Odor (hamstring) from their lineup. Cole is the most expensive pitcher of the night, but he also has one of the highest upsides.

Vince Velasquez vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Stadium – Tropicana Field
FanDuel = $6,700
DraftKings = $7,900

Velasquez has a lot of potential, but he has struggled with consistency in his career. He has a hard time pitching deep into games, averaging less than five innings per start in 2017. Hitters didn’t have a hard time squaring him up either with Velasquez posting a 38.1% hard hit percentage and a 20.8% HR/FB ratio. He was hit hard in his first start of the season against the Braves, but he settled down to allow one run in six innings in his second outing against the Marlins. He’ll face a similarly weak lineup in the Rays on Friday, who are tied for the third-fewest runs scored (39) in baseball. Velasquez also has strikeout upside, making him someone worth considering in tournament play.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Buster Posey vs. Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres
Stadium – Petco Park
FanDuel = $3,200
DraftKings = $3,700

Posey has been a model of consistency, batting at least .311 in three of the last four seasons. His home runs have been on the decline, but he did hit a career-high 34 doubles in 2017. He’s off to another great start this season, batting .375 with two home runs and eight RBI. He already has five multi-hit games as well. Friday brings a matchup against the struggling Ross, making Posey a viable option for your entry.

Mitch Moreland vs. Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $2,400
DraftKings = $3,300

Red Sox first baseman Hanley Ramirez was hit on the wrist and had to leave Thursday’s game against the Yankees. Initial results revealed it’s only a contusion, but it might be too much to expect him to play Friday. If he can’t play, Moreland should get the start at first base. Tillman allowed a staggering .429 wOBA to lefties last year, making Moreland a cheap option who could provide value.

Others to consider: Carlos Santana (first base) and Josh Bell (first base)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Cesar Hernandez vs. Jake Faria, Tampa Bay Rays
Stadium – Tropicana Field
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = $4,400

Hernandez has been swinging a hot bat at the start of the season, recording at least one hit in all but one game that he has played. He already has 10 walks in 11 games as well, resulting in an excellent 440 OBP. The switch-hitting Hernandez hit right-handers well last season, posting a .345 wOBA against them. Faria has a 14.29 ERA and 3.00 WHIP through two starts, so Hernandez could be in line for a big performance.

Howie Kendrick vs. Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies
Stadium – Nationals Park
FanDuel = $2,900
DraftKings = $3,600

Kendrick might not stand out in a loaded Nationals lineup that includes Bryce Harper and Trea Turner, but he’s been excellent with a .349 batting average this season. A career .291 hitter, Kendrick’s right-handed bat is a key part of their lineup. He dominated lefties with a .385 wOBA in 2017 and Freeland also struggled to get righties out, allowing a .345 wOBA to them last year. Kendrick has a nice price on both sites, making him an excellent option to consider for your entry.

Others to consider: Joe Panik and Brock Holt

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Rafael Devers vs. Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $3,300
DraftKings = $4,100

Devers got off to a great start this season but has cooled off to go 0-for-12 in his last three games. He’ll get an excellent opportunity to right the ship against Tillman with his struggles against left-handed hitters already detailed above. Tillman doesn’t have an overpowering pitch arsenal either, recording just three total strikeouts in his first two starts.

Evan Longoria vs. Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres
Stadium – Petco Park
FanDuel = $2,500
DraftKings = $2,900

After spending his entire career with the Rays, Longoria was dealt to the Giants over the winter, a team that badly needed a boost offensively. Longoria hasn’t been able to deliver for them so far, batting just .163. Longoria has been unlucky though, posting a .207 BABIP this season compared to his career mark of .298. He’s been hitting the ball well with a 36.7% hard hit percentage, so he’s unlikely to keep hitting this poorly for much longer. At this cheap price, he might be worth the risk against Ross.

Others to consider: Anthony Rendon and Luis Valbuena

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Trea Turner vs. Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies
Stadium – Nationals Park
FanDuel = $4,100
DraftKings = $4,500

With Adam Eaton (ankle) on the DL, Turner has moved back to the leadoff spot for the Nationals. He was a steals machine in that role last season, swiping 46 bases in only 90 games. Turner uncharacteristically struggled against lefties last year with a .281 wOBA, but he has shown improvement this season with a .375 wOBA against them. This could be just the matchup Turner needs to break out of his slump.

Scott Kingery vs. Jake Faria, Tampa Bay Rays
Stadium – Tropicana Field
FanDuel = $3,300
DraftKings = $3,800

Kingery has shown he can hit for power in his first 10 games of the season, slugging two home runs to go along with three doubles. The Phillies will get to use the DH playing in Tampa Bay on Friday, which will help free up some of the logjams they have in the outfield and infield. Kingery was a consistent hitter in the minors with a career .284 average and is a viable option against the struggling Faria.

Others to consider: Carlos Correa and Andrelton Simmons

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/13/18

Mookie Betts vs. Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $4,500
DraftKings = $5,100

Betts hit only .264 in 2017, but a lot of that was due to his abnormally low .268 BABIP. He’s rebounded in a big way so far, batting .370 with a .455 OBP this season. He has been crushing the ball with a 50% hard-hit rate. Betts has historically been a better hitter at home, posting a career .312 average ar Fenway park compared to .276 on the road. Don’t hesitate to pay up for him against Tillman on Friday.

Michael Conforto vs. Zach Davies, Milwaukee Brewers
Stadium – Citi Field
FanDuel = $3,800
DraftKings = $4,800

After a brief stint on the DL to start the season, Conforto is healthy now and batting .333 in his first six games. He crushed right-handed pitching in 2017 posting a 164 wRC+, which ranked sixth-highest in the majors behind players including Mike Trout, Bryce Harper, and Joey Votto. That could spell trouble for the right-handed Davies on Friday.

Kole Calhoun vs. Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Kauffman Stadium
FanDuel = $2,900
DraftKings = $3,100

The Angels lineup has a lot of excellent right-handed hitters in Mike Trout, Justin Upton, and Albert Pujols, but Calhoun provides an important compliment from the left side. Calhoun had just an 89 wRC+ against lefties last year but posted a 102 wRC+ against righties. His upside isn’t off the charts, but he is still a viable option Friday if you’re looking for a cheap outfielder to help fill out your lineup.

Others to consider: Shoei Ohtani and Andrew Benintendi

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: Catchers

by Mike Barner 0 Comments

*Mike Barner – @rotomikebarner*

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: Catchers

The Catcher position has historically been a tough slot to fill in fantasy baseball. There is usually a small tier of excellent options, followed by a precipitous drop off to the next best group of players. This season will be no different. Let’s not only take a look at the cream of the crop but also at some catchers who are overvalued and undervalued heading into 2018.

The Top Three

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: Catchers

Gary Sanchez, New York Yankees

Sanchez has firmly established himself as the premier fantasy option at catcher. He had a monster campaign in 2017, hitting .278 with 33 home runs, 90 RBI, and a .345 OBP. He did all that in just 122 games as he missed almost a month at the beginning of the season due to injury. Although he’s only played in 175 games in his career, he has already hit a whopping 53 home runs. All of his supporting numbers back up his counting stats, so there is no indication that he should slow down this season. He’ll be part of a lethal lineup including fellow sluggers Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, which should leave him plenty of opportunities to drive in runs. He will likely be drafted as early as the second or third round in your league, but he should be worth it based on how much better he is than any of the other catching options.

Willson Contreras, Chicago Cubs

Like Sanchez, Contreras is another young catcher who has quickly vaulted himself into the upper echelon of the position. He played in just 117 games last year but batted .276 with 21 home runs, 74 RBI, and a .356 OBP. Sanchez posted a 4.1 WAR last season, but Contreras was right behind him with a 3.9 WAR. He batted .283 with a .356 OBP in 517 career minor league games, so he’s proven that he can hit for a high average and get on base. The second best fantasy option at catcher comes down to Contreras and Buster Posey, but I give Contreras the edge because he hits for much more power.

Buster Posey, San Francisco Giants

Posey has been as reliable as it gets for catchers, playing in at least 140 games in six straight seasons. That’s extremely valuable when you consider the volatility of the position. He’s been just as valuable in the batting average department, hitting a lofty .308 for his career. He also posted a .400 OBP last year and has an OBP of at least .362 in each of the last seven seasons. The problem with Posey is his power numbers have regressed, bottoming out at just 12 home runs last year. He only had 67 RBI as a result and while the Giants lineup should be improved this season, the lack of power will limit Posey’s upside. There is a big dropoff in production after you get past Posey when it comes to catchers, so it might be best to wait on the position if you can’t draft one of the top three options.

 

Overvalued Players

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: Catchers

Yadier Molina, St. Louis Cardinals

Molina had a stellar season last year, batting .273 with 18 home runs and 82 RBI. The problem is, he had only 19 home runs in the previous three seasons combined. He had also hit more than 14 home runs in a season only once in his career heading into last year. He had an 11% home run to fly ball ratio last year, which is significantly higher than his career mark of 7%. His ADP is 148.77 in the NFCB, the sixth highest among catchers. In terms of general draft position, that’s a higher ADP than players including Greg Bird (153), Adrian Beltre (159.27) and Gregory Polanco (160.59). Don’t overpay for Molina just because the catcher position is shallow, especially considering his abnormal 2017 campaign.

Mike Zunino, Seattle Mariners

Zunino was a valuable fantasy asset last season, setting career-highs in batting average (.251), home runs (25) and RBI (64). He’s shown he can hit for power previously in his career, but he had never batted above .214 in a single season. He is a candidate to see a significant drop in batting average as his BABIP was .355 last year. Prior to that, he had never had a BABIP above .267. With the jump in home runs across the league, his value takes a big hit if he hits closer to .200 this year. His current ADP is 161.10, ahead of players like Jon Gray (165.99), Brett Gardner (180.65) and Matt Carpenter (181.99). Again, you should be looking for value in your draft, so it would be wise not to reach for Zunino at that price.

 

Undervalued Players

Fantasy Baseball Season Preview: Catchers

Welington Castillo, Chicago White Sox

Castillo had a tremendous power season for the Orioles last year, hitting 20 home runs despite playing only 96 games. He hasn’t played more than 113 games in any of the last five seasons but has hit at least 13 home runs four times. With a 36.4% hard hit percentage for his career, he has been able to post BABIP of at least .336 in three of the last five years. He could reach a career-high in games played for a rebuilding White Sox team if he can stay healthy, giving him the potential to provide valuable numbers. His current ADP is tenth among catchers, but don’t be surprised if he finishes ranked higher than that when the season is all said and done.

Robinson Chirinos, Texas Rangers

Chirinos played in only 88 games last year but still managed to hit 13 home runs to go along with a .255 batting average. He’s never played more than 93 games in his career but has shown impressive power by hitting at least 10 home runs in three of the last four years. Not only did he have a 20% home run to fly ball ratio last year, but he also posted a career-high 11% walk percentage. He could be in line for a bit of a regression in terms of his batting average this year, but his overall numbers might not differ too much from Zunino’s. Considering he is being selected about 100 picks later in drafts, I’d much rather take a chance on Chirinos.

MLB Draftkings Picks – June 19, 2017

by Austyn Varney 0 Comments

MLB Draftkings Picks – June 19, 2017

Welcome to Lineup Lab’s Best MLB Draftkings Picks, where we feature our top players for our MLB Lineup Optimizer on Fanduel and Draftkings. Put your favorite stacks from the article below in our lineup optimizer and hit calculate. You can let it fill in the rest of the spots for you or choose your personal favorites from the MLB Player Lab.

mlb draftkings picks - Johnny Cueto - lineuplab

Starting Pitchers

Clayton Kershaw Vs New York Mets
Park – Dodgers Field

There is nothing you can say bad about this guy. Sure, he’ll have his 2 or 3 starts where he struggles each year. You can’t really predict the match-up they come in, but they do usually occur on the road. He faces off with the Mets at home in Dodgers Field, favored by -250 in a game with a 7.5 over/under. The Mets hold by far the lowest implied run total on the entire slate and it’s for obvious good reason. Dodgers Field is definitely better for pitchers and the Mets are seeing a slight downgrade from Citi Field. The Mets are horrible against lefties, ranking 26th in the league with a .294 wOBA. They’re even worse on the road, ranking 29th and struggling to do much of anything. You can expect all the lefties to either sit or just strike out 2-3 times because Kershaw rarely even gives up singles to lefties. Good luck to the long swingers like Lucas Duda and whichever OF draws the unlucky start. Cespedes is really the only guy to be worried about, but he strikes out a ton and hasn’t been great since returning. You gotta love Kershaw. As always, it comes down to whether or not you can afford him. We do have a ton of offense sin good spots, so you should be able to find enough savings to make it work. With that being said, he is expensive and there is a case for paying down. Let’s take a look at a guy with some upside at a lower price tag.

Johnny Cueto Vs Atlanta Braves
Park – SunTrust Park

There are a few guys in this price range worthy of consideration, like Jon Lester and Corey Kluber. You then get Johnny Cueto, who’s 2a with Lester for me. Cueto is on the road and facing the Braves, who are still missing Freddie Freeman. Cueto has been extremely unlucky in his last few starts and his peripherals have been unchanged. This is a guy who completely takes way the running games and against a team without power, it doesn’t leave much for run production. I really don’t expect a clean slate out of Cueto here, but a solid 7 innings and 8 strikeouts with 1 or 2 runs are perfectly fine at his price. Cueto is still a workhorse for this team and Bochy is willing to push him around 110 pitches if things are going well. This lineup is extremely weak and has the potential to strike out a lot against the slider. The Giants will get plenty of runs for Cueto and the win shouldn’t be at all tough to get. He makes sense in all formats, but does still have a lot more risk than Kershaw. Cueto and Lester will be similarly owned and as of now, I’m split. Both are in solid spots and if you need to pay down a bit, you can go either way in either format.

mlb draftkings picks - buster posey - lineuplab

Offensive Stacks

San Francisco Giants Vs Atlanta Braves (R.A. Dickey)
Park – SunTrust Park

We’ll stay in Atlanta and take a look at the San Fran offense, facing off with the aged R.A. Dickey. Unlike wine, pitchers get far worse with age. Dickey erupted at the age of 37 and is now just about done. This is likely his last season in the majors and I doubt he even lasts the full season. He’s allowing close to a .380 wOBA against both sides of the plate and it doesn’t even look flukey.He’s been horrible in Suntrust Park and Vegas thinks he will once again struggle. The Giants are projected to hit over 5 runs and you have to love an offense with such concentration and run expectancy. While the Giants have struggled a ton this season, they hit in the spacious AT&T Park, which kills a lot of offense. Suntrust is much better for hitting and they will be able to drive the ball over the wall there. Brandon Belt is the best hitter in the lineup against righties and ha sported a .383 wOBA over the last 2 seasons. You then run into Buster Posey, who has been battling a sprained ankle and may not be in the lineup. Hunter Pence, Joe Panik, and Denard Span all work there way into the mix after that and can be paired in any which way. After that, you’re taking a longshot in hope of a homer. With the Giants struggling this season, I doubt the stack is too highly owned.

Buster Posey belongs in the stack if he makes the lineup.

Main Stack – Brandon Belt, Joe Panik, Hunter Pence, Denard Span

Sneaky Stack – Brandon Belt, Joe Panik, Brandon Crawford, Nick Hundley

Seattle Mariners Vs Detroit Tigers (Anibal Sanchez)
Park – Safeco Field

Anibal Sanchez has found a way to be worse than R.A. Dickey. Sanchez is a full 10 years younger at 33 and has been the absolute worst pitcher in baseball so far this season. While we can’t use these as fact due to sample size, they’re still very telling. He’s allowing a .507 wOBA against righties and a .400 against lefties. Yes, you read that right. While the right split is a bit unrealistic, his numbers against lefties last season weren’t much better than a .400. I haven’t even listed the craziest stat of all. In just 20 innings of work, Sanchez has allowed an astonishing 9 home runs. The Mariners have a very concentrated offense and I’m not getting off of the big 3 (Cano, Cruz, Seager) in any of my Mariners stacks. They have been hitting well at Safeco Field and are projected to score over 4.5 runs. After the big 3, you can go plenty of ways. Ben Gamel will likely leadoff and he makes for a great choice. Haniger is also a great hitter and has the ability to match the production of the stars. Either way, this is a safe offense to target and they shouldn’t be very highly owned.

Main Stack – Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager, Ben Gamel, Nelson Cruz

Sneaky Stack – Robinson Cano, Kyle Seager, Mitch Haniger, Nelson Cruz