Header Image - PICK LIKE THE PROS

Tag Archives

2 Articles

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

June special! Use Code PAMLB30 at checkout

Baseball brings a pretty even split between day and night games Thursday, so let’s take a look at some options across the entire schedule for your DFS entry. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

Gerrit Cole vs. Texas Rangers
Stadium – Globe Life Park in Arlington
FanDuel = $11,800
DraftKings = $14,000

It’s hard to argue against starting Cole whenever he takes the mound. He’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball, recording a 2.20 ERA, 2.55 FIP and a 0.83 WHIP in 12 starts. One of the main reasons for his significant improvement has been his 12.8 K/9. Before this season, he never had a K/9 higher than 9.0 in his career. Cole absolutely dominated the Rangers in their first two meetings this year, allowing three runs and recording 25 strikeouts in 14 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his starts either, so don’t be afraid to pay up to get him into your lineup.

Jalen Beeks vs. Detroit Tigers
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $6,000
DraftKings = $5,700

The Red Sox have decided to give their starters an extra day of rest, resulting in Beeks being called up to make a spot start Thursday. He’s been lights out at Triple-A this year, recording a 2.56 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. Not only has he shown good control with a 2.2 BB/9, but he gets a ton of strikeouts with a 12.8 K/9. The Tigers lineup has struggled on the road this season with a .670 OPS compared to a .763 OPS at home. Beeks is certainly a risky play, but he might be worth taking a chance on at this price considering this matchup and his strikeout upside.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

Matt Olson vs. Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $4,600

Olson provided plenty of power for the Athletics last year with a .651 slugging percentage. He hasn’t been able to replicate that so far this season, but he does have four home runs in his last six games. He also went 10-for-24 (.417) over that stretch, boosting his batting average up to .256 on the season. Hammel has a 1.43 WHIP and doesn’t have an overpowering arsenal with just a 5.8 K/9, so look for Olson to continue to swing a hot bat.

Wilson Ramos vs. Mike Leake, Seattle Mariners
Stadium – Tropicana Field
FanDuel = $2,600
DraftKings = $3,800

Even though Ramos was limited to only 64 games due to injury last year, he still slugged 11 home runs. His batting average wasn’t great at .260, but his .262 BABIP certainly didn’t help his cause. He’s hitting for power again this season with seven home runs, but his .336 BABIP has helped boost his average to .290. His hard-hit rate is 40.3%, which might be unsustainable considering his 31.9% career mark. His splits are pretty close against righties and lefties, making him a cheap option with upside against Leake.

Others to consider: Anthony Rizzo (first base) and Carlos Santana (first base)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

Brian Dozier vs. James Shields, Chicago White Sox
Stadium – Target Field
FanDuel = $4,200
DraftKings = $4,200

The Twins lineup has been heating up as they have averaged 5.5 runs in their last 10 games. By comparison, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game this year overall. It’s no coincidence that Dozier is 12-for-38 (.316) over that stretch. He still has a lot of catching up to do with a .247 average overall, but he could be in line for a big performance Thursday since he is 12-for-38 with four home runs and five doubles in his career against Shields.

Jed Lowrie vs. Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
FanDuel = $3,500
DraftKings = $4,500

After slugging six home runs in his first 28 games, Lowrie only has three longballs in his last 32 contests. He’s never hit more than 16 in a season, so it’s no surprise that he has cooled down in the power department. That doesn’t mean he’s not hitting in general, though, as he is 11-for-38 (.289) with five doubles in his last nine games. Considering how poorly Hammel has pitched, Lowrie is once again a viable option for your entry.

Others to consider: Dee Gordon and Joey Wendle

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

Eugenio Suarez vs. Tyler Anderson, Colorado Rockies
Stadium – Great American Ball Park
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $5,100

Suarez has done a great job cutting down his strikeouts, posting a 17.9% strikeout rate this year compared to 23.4% for his career. Add that to a staggering 50% hard-hit rate and you get a career-high .305 average despite his BABIP being right in line with his career numbers. With a 232 wRC+ against lefties, Suarez could do a lot of damage against Anderson.

Danny Valencia vs. Jaime Garcia, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Rogers Centre
FanDuel = $2,600
DraftKings = $3,300

Garcia is struggling to find his way with the Blue Jays, posting a 6.08 ERA and a 5.25 FIP in 10 starts. He’s had troubles keeping runners off base throughout his career, but he’s taken it to another level this year with a 1.61 WHIP. He also has a 1.7 HR/9 which, combined with his WHIP, is a big reason why he has such a bloated ERA. Valencia has a .369 wOBA against lefties for his career and could provide a lot of value at this cheap price.

Others to consider: Eduardo Escobar and Colin Moran

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

Manny Machado vs. Jaime Garcia, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Rogers Centre
FanDuel = $4,500
DraftKings = $5,300

With Garcia’s struggles already outlined, stacking Orioles could be a wise strategy Thursday. Machado obviously won’t provide the cost savings that Valencia does, but he also has tremendous upside. He has a 1.014 OPS and is making a strong push in a contract year to have the best season of his career. He does actually have better numbers against righties this year, but he’s not exactly struggling against lefties with a .401 wOBA.

Jean Segura vs. Ryne Stanek, Tampa Bay Rays
Stadium – Tropicana Field
FanDuel = $3,900
DraftKings = $4,600

Stanek is starting this game for the Rays, but this will be another one of their bullpen games. Segura enters this game on an extended hot streak, hitting 43-for-102 (.422) since May 9th. He doesn’t hit a ton of home runs, but his .486 slugging percentage this year would be the second-highest mark of his career. If you can’t work Machado into your budget, Segura also has plenty of upside.

Others to consider: Xander Bogaerts and Marcus Semien

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 6/7/18

J.D. Martinez vs. Matthew Boyd, Detroit Tigers
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $4,800
DraftKings = $5,400

The Red Sox needed to add a power hitter during the offseason and boy did they ever. Martinez has certainly held up to lofty expectations right out of the gate as he is batting .317 with 20 home runs and 52 RBI. His career high for RBI in a season was the 104 that he had last year, so he could blow by that mark this year if he stays healthy. He has a career .384 wOBA against lefties and is worth paying up for against Boyd.

Adam Jones vs. Jaime Garcia, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Rogers Centre
FanDuel = $3,400
DraftKings = $3,800

Jones only has six walks this year, but he’s not just a free swinger with a reasonable 16.5% strikeout rate. He’s batting .288 with 10 home runs on a bad team, which has resulted in him recording only 28 RBI. He’s 17-for-42 (.405) in his last 10 games and is a cheap option to target facing Garcia.

Dustin Fowler vs. Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum
FanDuel = $2,400
DraftKings = $4,300

Acquired from the Yankees last year in the Sonny Gray deal, the Athletics are hoping that Fowler is a big part of their future. He’s batting .250 through his first 64 at-bats and has shown a combination of speed and power with three home runs and four steals. He had 13 home runs and 13 steals in 70 games at Triple-A last year, so he has the potential to provide value in both categories. His price on DraftKings is high, but he’s a great bargain play on FanDuel facing Hammel.

Others to consider: Eddie Rosario and Odubel Herrera

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Earlybird special! Use Code PAMLB10 at checkout

There are a lot of teams off Thursday, leaving only nine games for the main evening slate in DFS. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Tyler Skaggs vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Stadium – Angel Stadium
FanDuel = $9,000
DraftKings = $10,400

Skaggs is on pace for the best season of his career, posting a 3.07 ERA and 3.19 FIP through eight starts. He had finished with a WHIP of at least 1.39 in back-to-back seasons but has been able to cut that down to 1.21 this year. He’s allowed a .300 BABIP and a 37.1% hard-hit rate, which are both either at or higher than his career marks, so he’s not exactly getting lucky either. His 9.4 K/9 this season has been aided by the fact that he has thrown a first-pitch strike to 65.8% of the batters that he has faced and a career-best 10.4% swinging strike rate. His price is climbing, but he’s certainly one of the best options Thursday.

Chad Bettis vs. San Francisco Giants
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $7,200
DraftKings = $7,400

Bettis’ 3.12 ERA looks nice, but he’s been lucky with a 4.35 FIP and a .257 BABIP allowed that is over 50 percentage points lower than his career mark. He doesn’t have an overpowering arsenal either with just a 6.6 K/9 for his career. Like many pitchers, Bettis struggles in Coors field with a 5.37 ERA there for his career compared to a 4.29 ERA on the road. Those splits have been even more drastic this year with a 6.89 ERA in three home starts and a 1.35 ERA in five games on the road. Although his strikeout upside isn’t great, Bettis could be worth the risk in tournament play based on his price.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Eric Hosmer vs. Chad Kuhl, Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – PNC Park
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $3,800

After recording only two home runs and four RBI in his first 26 games, Hosmer has picked up his production with four home runs and 12 RBI in his last 14 contests. He’s only batted .231 over that 14-game stretch, but that’s mostly because of his abnormally low .205 BABIP. Hosmer has followed up his stellar .400 wOBA against right-handed pitchers in 2017 with a .377 mark this season, making him a great option against Kuhl, who really struggles against lefties.

Matt Olson vs. Aaron Sanchez, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Rogers Centre
FanDuel = $2,900
DraftKings = $3,600

Olson’s power numbers are way down, following up his .652 slugging percentage in 2017 with only a .404 mark this year. His strikeout rate sits at 30.4%, which certainly isn’t helping his cause any. He is only batting .238, which is a bit scary when you consider he has a favorable .323 BABIP. Despite all his struggles, he still has a .359 wOBA against righties this year and won’t face an overpowering one in Sanchez on Thursday, so he could provide upside considering his price.

Others to consider: Justin Smoak (first base) and James McCann (catcher)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Jed Lowrie vs. Aaron Sanchez, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Rogers Centre
FanDuel = $3,500
DraftKings = $4,100

Lowrie has cooled off some after his torrid start, but he’s still batting .296 in May. His power numbers are on the decline with one double and three home runs this month, but that was to be expected considering his career .414 slugging percentage.  He hit righties well last year with a .353 wOBA and has been even better with a .423 wOBA this season, making him another Athletics’ hitter who could provide value against Sanchez.

Rougned Odor vs. James Shields, Chicago White Sox
Stadium – Guaranteed Rate Field
FanDuel = $2,600
DraftKings = $3,100

Odor batted only .204 last year, but he provided plenty of power with 30 home runs. Injuries have limited him to just 16 games this season, but he’s still looking for his first homer. Shields doesn’t exactly have electric stuff anymore with a 5.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 5.3 K/9 this season and Odor does have more success against righties, so he may have some upside.

Others to consider: Ozzie Albies and Sean Rodriguez

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Nolan Arenado vs. Jeff Samardzija, San Francisco Giants
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $4,600
DraftKings = $5,100

Samardzija is struggling, to say the least, recording a 6.94 ERA, 6.27 FIP and 1.71 WHIP across his first five starts. He’s had major control issues with a 5.8 BB/9 and has already allowed five home runs in just 23.1 innings. Things could get ugly for him again Thursday, especially against Arenado since he is 12-for-29 (.414) against him in his career.

Danny Valencia vs. David Price, Boston Red Sox
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $2,900
DraftKings = $3,800

Price hasn’t pitched well since leaving his start against the Yankees April 11 with an injury, watching his ERA increase from 2.40 to 4.89 since. He’s pitched more than 5.2 innings only after that game and could be risky moving forward due to his battle with carpal tunnel syndrome. Valencia hits lefties well and is 13-for-22 (.591) against Price in his career.

Others to consider: Josh Donaldson and Matt Chapman

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Manny Machado vs. David Price, Boston Red Sox
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $5,600

Machado is a good player to target most nights unless he’s facing one of the true elite aces in the league. Not only is he batting a robust .342, but he also has 13 home runs and 11 doubles. He has hit Price well in his career too, going 11-for-37 (.297) with four home runs.

Jose Iglesias vs. Marco Gonzales, Seattle Mariners
Stadium – Safeco Field
FanDuel = $3,000
DraftKings = $3,000

If you can make Machado work in your budget, he’s the option I prefer at shortstop. However, if you need to save some money at the position, Iglesias is someone to have on your radar. He has really struggled against righties with a .282 wOBA against them for his career but has a .328 wOBA against lefties. Gonzales has had troubles keeping runners off base with a 1.64 WHIP for his career, so Iglesias may be able to find his way on base a couple of times in this game.

Others to consider: Jean Segura and Marcus Semien

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/17/18

Mookie Betts vs. Kevin Gausman, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $5,300
DraftKings = $5,800

I’ve already discussed a couple of Orioles’ hitters with favorable matchups in this game, but now it’s time to move to the other dugout with Betts. He’s been one of the elite hitters in all of baseball this year and even though Gausman is off to an encouraging start, Betts is 12-for-29 (.414) with three home runs against him in his career. Betts actually has more walks (four) than strikeouts (three) against Gausman.

Joey Gallo vs. James Shields, Chicago White Sox
Stadium = Guaranteed Rate Field
FanDuel = $3,400
DraftKings = $4,300

When you play Gallo, it’s for his home run upside since he is only batting .201 for his career. This year has been no different with a .200 average and a 34.3% strikeout rate. The power is still there though and Shields has a HR/9 of at least 2.0 in back-to-back seasons, so Gallo could be worth the risk at this price.

Gerardo Parra vs. Jeff Samardzija, San Francisco Giants
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $2,600
DraftKings = $3,300

Parra really struggles against lefties, but his wOBA for his career is almost 50 percentage points higher against righties. He’s not off to a great start this season with a .674 OPS, but facing Samardzija might be just what he needs since he is 12-for-20 (.400) with two home runs against him in his career.

Others to consider: Nomar Mazara and Franchy Cordero