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NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 14

*Mike Barner*


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NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 14

It’s important to know the intricacies of the NBA schedule to gain an advantage over your opponent in a head-to-head fantasy league as starting your best players might not always give you the best chance to win. Here are some moves you might want to consider for your team based on the week ahead.

Teams With The Most Games – 4 Games Each
Brooklyn Nets, Detroit Pistons, Indiana Pacers, Los Angeles Lakers, Memphis Grizzlies, Miami Heat, New York Knicks, San Antonio Spurs, Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz

There are only ten teams playing four games each this week, which means you might be left with less of a base to build off of on your current squad than normal. If you need help filling out your starting lineup, consider adding the below players who are still available in most leagues.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 14

Jarrett Jack, New York Knicks

The Knicks brought in Jack on a non-guaranteed contract and not only has he played well, but he has started 40 games this season. He was expected to split time with rookie point guard Frank Ntilikina but has firmly grabbed a hold of the starting job. Jack is averaging 27 minutes per game this season but has played at least 32 minutes in five of the last seven games. Jack has taken full advantage of the opportunity, averaging 14.8 points, 7.2 assists and 1.8 steals in those five games. Two of his four games this week come against the Nets and Lakers, both of which are in the top-five in the league in pace of play. Jack is still available in 65% of Yahoo! leagues and should be on your radar if you need a point guard.

Wayne Ellington, Miami Heat

The Heat have been one of the teams impacted the most by injuries this season, most recently losing Dion Waiters (ankle) for the season. Ellington has been a crucial part of their rotation as a result, averaging 25 minutes per game overall. He’s played much more than that lately though, logging at least 30 minutes in 12 of his last 13 games. He won’t provide much in the way of rebounds or assists, but he has made the sixth-most three-pointers (121) in the league. If you need a boost from behind the arc, he could be a difference maker with four games on tap for this week. He is still available in 66% of Yahoo! leagues.

JaMychal Green, Memphis Grizzlies

Green has been limited to just 26 games this season, but he is averaging a career-high 10.0 points to go along with 6.7 rebounds and 0.8 three-pointers per game. He’s off to a hot start in January, averaging 12.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.3 steals and 1.0 block through four games. He could be in line for added minutes this week as the Grizzlies will need his size battling four big frontcourts in the Lakers, Knicks, Kings, and Pelicans. None of the four are particularly strong teams defensively either. Still available in 85% of Yahoo! leagues, Green has upside this week.

Teams With The Fewest Games – 2 Games Each
Dallas Mavericks, Phoenix Suns

With only two teams playing two games each this week, rolling with players on the Mavericks or Suns will put you at a disadvantage. As a result, consider benching the players below who you may normally start most weeks.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 14

T.J. Warren, Phoenix Suns

Warren has stepped up to be the Suns’ second-best player this year, averaging career-highs in points (19.7), rebounds (5.5) and assists (1.4) per game. The problem is, he doesn’t provide great defensive stats and is only averaging 0.3 three-pointers per game. His two opponents this week are the Nuggets and the Trail Blazers, two teams in the bottom half of the league in terms of pace of play. With scoring being his main source of value, he just won’t have the volume this week to warrant starting.

Dennis Smith Jr., Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks are lacking depth and young talent, so Smith has been a welcomed addition to their roster. Although he’s only averaging 28 minutes per game, he’s still provided value because of his 28.3% usage rate that ranks inside the top-25 in the league. His percentages have hurt his value though as he’s shooting just 39.4% from the field and 69.3% from the charity stripe. Ironically, the Mavericks also play the Nuggets and Trail Blazers this week, so it might be best to keep Smith on your bench.

Harrison Barnes, Dallas Mavericks

Barnes has been the most productive player on the Mavericks, averaging 18.7 points, 6.7 rebounds, 2.2 assists and 1.4 three-pointers per game. His field goal percentage is down this season at only 45.5%, but he’s been excellent from the charity stripe, shooting 82.8%. He doesn’t provide many steals or blocks, so it’s going to be tough to get enough value from him with such a limited schedule this week. It might be wise to look elsewhere ar forward this week.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks for 1/3/18 – Value Plays

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks for 1/3/18 – Value Plays

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POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks - Value Plays

J.J. Barea, DAL vs. GS
FanDuel = $5,600
DraftKings = $5,100

Barea is playing well right now, averaging 13.0 points, 8.6 assists, 1.0 steal and 1.8 three-pointers over his last five games. Although he hasn’t played more than 29 minutes in any of those games, he’s still provided value because his 25.6% usage rate is inside the top-4o in the league. The Warriors play at the fifth-fastest pace (102.3 possessions per game) in the league, so look for Barea to have an opportunity to provide value again at this reasonable price.

Jarrett Jack, NY at WAS
FanDuel = $4,700
DraftKings = $4,300

Jack is not a flashy option, but we’re not looking for flashy at this price. One of the keys to look for in a cheap option is reliable playing time. Jack gets just that as he continues to start for the Knicks, averaging 26 minutes per game this season. He’s playing well right now, scoring at least 20 points on both FanDuel and DraftKings in each of his last four games. Though Frank Ntilikina is making strides in his rookie season, Jack is still getting enough minutes to be a viable option Wednesday.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks - Value Plays

Allen Crabbe, BKN vs. MIN
FanDuel = $5,300
DraftKings = $4,400

The Nets have been bitten by the injury bug and things could be even worse Wednesday with Caris LeVert (groin) listed as doubtful and DeMarre Carroll (rib) listed as questionable. Crabbe is already averaging 29 minutes per game this season but could be counted on for heavy minutes if both LeVert and Carroll sit out this game. Even if one of them is able to play, Crabbe still has value, averaging 11.0 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2.1 three-pointers over his last nine games. Of note, Crabbe is only shooting guard eligible on DraftKings. He is listed at small forward on FanDuel.

Malcolm Brogdon, MIL vs. IND
FanDuel = $4,800
DraftKings = $4,800

The Bucks and coach Jason Kidd can throw out some strange rotations at times, but Brogdon has still managed to play at least 30 minutes in seven of his last nine games. He averaged 13.2 points, 3.9 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.0 steal and 1.2 three-pointers over those nine games, which is valuable at this price. The Pacers will be depleted at guard with Victor Oladipo (knee) out again, so Brogdon could thrive against a thin second unit. The price is right to take a chance on him in this game.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks - Value Plays

Kyle Anderson, SA at PHI
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $5,300

Anderson was solid filling in for the injured Kawhi Leonard to start the season but has seen his playing time and scoring opportunities decrease since his return. That might not be an issue Wednesday as not only is Leonard likely to rest on the second night of a back-to-back, but Danny Green (groin) might not play either. Anderson has played at least 30 minutes in a game eight times this season, averaging 9.8 points, 6.8 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 1.5 steals in those games. An added bonus is that he gets to face the Sixers, who play at the second-fastest pace (103.3) in the league. The stars may be aligning for Anderson in this contest.

Joe Harris, BKN vs. MIN
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $3,900

Harris has been a valuable member of the Nets bench this season, averaging career-highs in points (9.8), rebounds (2.9), assists (1.4) and three-pointers (1.9) per game. The problem is he only gets limited playing time, averaging 24 minutes per contest. If LeVert and/or Carroll are unable to play Wednesday, Harris would likely be one of the main beneficiaries of their minutes.  Keep an eye on their status throughout the day and get Harris into your lineup if they can’t go.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks - Value Plays

Michael Beasley, NY vs. WAS
FanDuel = $5,300
DraftKings = $4,800

Beasley can explode offensively any given night and has done so of late, scoring at least 18 points in five of his last nine games. He’s only averaging 18 minutes per game this season but has averaged 25 minutes over those nine games. He’s going to be productive more often than not when given extended playing time because his 29.2% usage rate is second-best on the team. The Knicks score the tenth-fewest points per game (103.3) in the league, so they need Beasley’s offense. Don’t be surprised if he gets another opportunity to provide value Wednesday.

Marquese Chriss, PHO at DEN
FanDuel = $5,000
DraftKings = $4,600

The Suns have been one of the most frustrating teams in the league this season when it comes to their frontcourt rotations, especially at center. They appear to have finally started to settle things down, holding out Greg Monroe for each of the last five games. Chriss has thrived at power forward over those five games, averaging 12.2 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.8 blocks in 27 minutes per game. He gets a nice matchup Wednesday as the Nuggets allow the eighth-most points per game on FanDuel and the ninth-most points per game on DraftKings to opposing power forwards. As long as the minutes are there again, he could be one of the better value plays of the night.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks - Value Plays

Jonas Valanciunas, TOR at CHI
FanDuel = $5,000
DraftKings = $4,900

Valanciunas is a tricky option in DFS because he just doesn’t get consistent playing time. He needs everything to fall right in a matchup to provide value, which is the case Wednesday. Valanciunas has dominated the Bulls this season, averaging 22.0 points and 12.5 rebounds in their first two games. The key was he played at least 24 minutes in both contests. He should get added minutes matching up against Robin Lopez, making him an excellent option for your entry.

Richaun Holmes, PHI vs. SA
FanDuel = $4,100
DraftKings = $4,800

Sixers center Joel Embiid (hand) is listed as doubtful Wednesday, leaving Holmes with an opportunity for added playing time. The Sixers are always cautious with Embiid, which is not good for his chances of playing in this game. In the last seven games Embiid has missed, Holmes has averaged 11.6 points and 6.0 rebounds per contest. The Spurs have a lot of size up front, so expect the Sixers to lean heavily on Holmes if Embiid doesn’t suit up. While I prefer to go with Valanciunas, Holmes is also a viable cheap option at center.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks 12/16/17

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Lineup Picks 12/16/17

Saturday Night’s NBA Main slate presents us an eight game mosh-pit with some interesting match-ups. Some of which provide some value plays given the injury epidemic going on recently.


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POINT GUARDS:

Russell Westbrook ($11,100 FD/$11,500 DK) – 

If you’re going to pay up for somebody on FanDuel Westbrook may be the foundation to your lineup. He is cheaper on FD than The Greak Freak, LeBron and Harden. He is still very worth it on DK as the triple-double machine is coming off of a triple-overtime game where he stuffed the stat sheet of 27-18-15. He now plays the next night at Madison Square Garden, where he may just put on a show. Westbrooks opponents, the Knicks, rank 25th in defending the position. He logged 52 minutes during last night’s win, however, he should be more than fine. It’s time for the Russ show for my lineup.

Jeff Teague ($6,400 FD/$6,500/DK) –

Jeff Teague has a great match-up Saturday against struggling Phoenix Suns, who rank 28th in defending point guards this season as they allow on average 50.52 FPTS per game. Teague has not been so valuable on DFS lately, but he hasn’t had too big of a workload either with the way teammates Jimmy Butler and Karl Anthony-Towns have been playing lately. Regardless, this matchup offers Teague an ideal game to breakout to his old form.

SHOOTING GUARDS:

Donovan Mitchell ($7,800 FD/$6,900 DK) –

Donovan Mitchell is one of the most underrated rookies that has emerged in the league this year. Mitchell is slowly and steadily raising eyebrows and sparking a ROTY conversation. A bit pricey on FanDuel, Mitchell has pretty good upside in this contest, as he opposes the defense-weak Cavaliers. He has also been incredibly consistent in fantasy value. With blows to Derrick Favors and Rudy Gobert in Friday night’s game, Mitchell would be reintroduced to a heavier workload if one, or both of those are sidelined.

CJ McCollum ($7,100 FD/$6,800 DK) – 

McCollum has some serious upside in this slate. McCollum has scored 20+ points in four straight games averaging 33 FanDuel PPG in those contests. He appears likely to make it five in a row as he matches up with the Phoenix Suns, the 30th ranked team in defending shooting guards. His price is very fair and adds value to his projections, given his consistency as of lately. McCollum is a little more flexible on DraftKings as he is also eligible for point guard.

SMALL FORWARDS:

Jimmy Butler ($9,700 FD/$9,000 DK) –

Not many people have been hotter than Jimmy Butler lately. Holding one of the best SF match-ups of the night, Butler enters Saturday with a stretch in which out of the last 7 games, he has logged an average of 41 minutes and has scored an average of 27 points per game. One beneficial factor about Butler’s match-up against the Suns is that Timberwolves head coach Tom Thibodeau hasn’t had much trust in his second unit lately, as his starters have been seeing serious minutes regardless of score. This helps the case for obtaining Butler as a potential blowout won’t damage his minutes too much. Butler is listed as SF on FanDuel, but SG on DraftKings.

Harrison Barnes ($6,700 FD/$6,500 DK) – 

It seems as if regardless of how consistent Barnes is for the DFS community, he will never have the respect he deserves.