MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

MLB Daily Fantasy Picks

by Mike Barner on May 1, 20180 Comments

Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

Earlybird special! Use Code PAMLB10 at checkout

If you like ace starting pitchers, you are in luck Tuesday with Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, Clayton Kershaw, Justin Verlander and Noah Syndergaard all scheduled to take the mound. Offense might be hard to come by in those games, but there are still a lot of great hitting options for the night as well. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

Chris Sale vs. Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $11,300
DraftKings = $12,400

Where to begin? Sale was one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball last year, finishing with a 2.90 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 12.9 K/9. It marked the third time in the last four seasons that he finished with a K/9 of at least 10.8. He hasn’t slowed down this season, posting a 2.31 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 11.6 K/9 through six starts. He owns left-handed hitters, holding them to a .234 wOBA last year. Some of the Royals best hitters are left-handed, which is not good news for their offensive potential Tuesday. Their lineup has been bad in general this year, scoring the fewest runs (95) with the sixth-lowest OPS (.681) in baseball. Of all the aces taking the mound Tuesday, Sale might finish with the most impressive performance.

Sean Newcomb vs. New York Mets
Stadium – Citi Field
FanDuel = $7,400
DraftKings = $7,600

The Braves are loaded with young talent, including Newcomb, who they are relying on to be an important part of their starting rotation. He’s had control issues in his brief Major League career, posting a 5.0 BB/9 through 127.2 innings. The good news is he doesn’t allow a lot of solid contact with a 27.4% hard-hit rate for his career. Add in his 9.7 K/9 last year and he can provide value despite his high walk rate. The Mets have the second-lowest OPS (.605) against left-handed pitching this season, so Newcomb might be worth the risk Tuesday.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

C.J. Cron vs. Matthew Boyd, Detroit Tigers
Stadium – Comerica Park
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $3,900

Cron has provided the Rays with an excellent power bat of late, hitting five home runs in his last eight games. He’s never played more than 116 games in a season, but should easily top that this season if he can stay healthy. Boyd’s 2.74 ERA looks nice, but his 4.72 FIP indicates he has not pitched that well and he’s been lucky with opponents having just a .194 BABIP. Cron might be one player who turns Boyd’s luck around Tuesday.

Albert Pujols vs. Alex Cobb, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Angel Stadium
FanDuel = $2,900
DraftKings = $3,600

Pujols isn’t exactly red-hot right now and hasn’t had a multi-hit performance in any of his last 12 games. However, Cobb has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball during the early going, allowing a 13.11 ERA and 2.83 WHIP. He has allowed at least 10 hits in each of his first three starts and only has four total strikeouts. At this cheap price, Pujols could be worth the risk in tournament play.

Others to consider: Joey Votto (first base) and J.T. Realmuto (catcher)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

Robinson Cano vs. Andrew Triggs, Oakland Athletics
Stadium – Safeco Field
FanDuel = $4,300
DraftKings = $3,900

Cano only has three home runs this year, but he’s batting .313 with a .422 OBP. He has shown an excellent eye at the plate, drawing 17 walks and striking out just 18 times. With a career .379 wOBA against right-handed pitchers, Cano could be in line for a big performance Tuesday.

Ian Kinsler vs. Alex Cobb, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Angel Stadium
FanDuel = $3,100
DraftKings = $3,800

Kinsler has already spent some time on the DL this season, limiting him to only 15 games. He’s struggled to the tune of a .224 batting average, but his abnormally low .218 BABIP and 25% hard-hit rate suggest better things to come. With Cobb’s struggles already detailed, Kinsler is another Angels’ hitter to consider adding to your entry.

Others to consider: Jed Lowrie and Matt Carpenter

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

Christian Villanueva vs. Andrew Suarez, San Francisco Giants
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $3,900
DraftKings = $4,400

The Padres couldn’t have asked for more from Villanueva to start the season, hitting .321 with a 1.103 OPS, eight home runs, and 19 RBI. His .370 BABIP might not be sustainable though and he batted only .269 with a .780 OPS during his career in the minors. While regression is likely in his future, it might not come Tuesday against the left-handed Suarez since Villanueva has a 339 wRC+ (you’re not reading that wrong) against lefties in his brief Major League career.

Martin Prado vs. Zach Eflin, Philadelphia Phillies
Stadium – Marlins Park
FanDuel = $2,700
DraftKings = $3,000

A career .291 hitter, injuries limited Prado to only 37 games last year and only three games this season. He doesn’t hit for a lot of power, but he doesn’t strike out much either with an 11.2% strikeout rate for his career. Eflin will be making his first start of the season after finishing with a 1.42 WHIP and 4.9 K/9 last year, bringing Prado and his cheap price into the conversation for Tuesday.

Others to consider: Alex Bregman and Daniel Robertson

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

Trea Turner vs. Chad Kuhl, Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – Nationals Park
FanDuel = $4,100
DraftKings = $4,300

Turner was in a funk to start the season but has broken out of it, hitting 13-for-30 (.433) in his last seven games. He’s been excellent on the bases as well, recording four steals and five runs scored during that same stretch. Kuhl has struggled to keep runners off base with a 1.43 career WHIP, so don’t be surprised if Turner has another multi-hit performance in this game.

Andrelton Simmons vs. Alex Cobb, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Angel Stadium
FanDuel = $2,800
DraftKings = $3,900

Simmons is one of the best defensive shortstops in baseball, but don’t forget that he has batted at least .278 in back-to-back seasons. He’s off to an even better start this season at .312, but a lot of that has to do with his 39.5% hard-hit rate, which is over 13% higher than his career mark. With Cobb on the mound Tuesday though, he’s yet another Angels’ hitter who could provide value.

Others to consider: Carlos Correa and Adeiny Hechavarria

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 5/1/18

Bryce Harper vs. Chad Kuhl, Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – Nationals Park
FanDuel = $4,600
DraftKings = $5,300

Harper is hitting just .247 this season, but his .219 BABIP indicates that won’t hold up. He’s still hitting the ball well, posting a 40.3% hard-hit rate. His eye at the plate has been impeccable with 38 walks and only 21 strikeouts this year, leading to a lofty .458 OBP. With Kuhl’s struggles to keep runners off base, Harper might be worth paying up for Tuesday.

Marcell Ozuna vs. James Shields, Chicago White Sox
Stadium – Busch Stadium
FanDuel = $3,300
DraftKings = $3,800

After setting career-highs with a .312 average and 37 home runs in 2017, it was going to be tough for Ozuna to duplicate that for his new team this year. He’s off to a slow start batting .250, but his .313 BABIP isn’t that low. It should be noted that his career batting average is .276 and his career BABIP is .326, so he may have just played over his head last year. He’s still someone to consider Tuesday though against Shields, who doesn’t have overpowering stuff and finished with a 1.44 WHIP last year.

Max Kepler vs. Marco Estrada, Toronto Blue Jays
Stadium – Target Field
FanDuel = $2,800
DraftKings = $3,400

Kepler is a much better hitter against righties, finishing with a .350 wOBA against them last year compared to .203 against lefties. Of the 19 home runs he hit last year, 17 of them came off of righties. Estrada allowed 31 home runs last year and has already given up seven this season, making Kepler a viable option at a cheap price.

Others to consider: Mike Trout and Christian Yelich

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

MLB Daily Fantasy Picks

by Mike Barner on April 27, 20180 Comments

Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Earlybird special! Use Code PAMLB10 at checkout

There is only one day game Friday, leaving you with a lot of options to sift through for the night slate in DFS. Sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Jacob deGrom vs. San Diego Padres
Stadium – Petco Park
FanDuel = $10,600
DraftKings = $12,400

deGrom was one of the few Mets starters to stay healthy last year, logging a career-high 201.1 innings. He made significant strides in the strikeout department, finishing with a 10.7 K/9 that was a full strikeout higher than his previous career best. He’s continued his increased pace this season with an 11.3 K/9 through five starts. Not only does he have excellent control with a career 2.3 BB/9, but he doesn’t allow many baserunners in general with a career 1.12 WHIP. The Padres have struck out more times (273) than any other team in baseball this season and have the sixth-lowest batting average against right-handed pitchers (.223), leaving deGrom as someone to target for your entry Friday.

Miles Mikolas vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – PNC Park
FanDuel = $6,700
DraftKings = $7,600

Mikolas returned to the majors for the first time since 2014 after pitching the last three years in Japan. The transition back has gone smoothly so far, posting a 3.46 ERA and 3.89 FIP across four starts. He’s done a great job limiting base runners with a 1.00 WHIP and has shown impeccable control with a 0.7 BB/9. His strikeout upside isn’t great, but he has the potential to sustain a low ERA if he can continue to limit walks. If you are looking to go really cheap in tournament play, he has the potential to at least throw a quality start.

CATCHER/FIRST BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Joey Votto vs. Phil Hughes, Minnesota Twins
Stadium – Target Field
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = $4,100

Votto certainly didn’t play well out of the gate, but it appears he has righted the ship. Not only is he on a five-game hitting streak, but he has also hit a home run in three straight. His .270 BABIP is well below his career mark of .352, so expect his batting average to continue to improve. He dominated right-handed pitchers last year with a .433 wOBA, leaving him with significant upside against Hughes on Friday.

C.J. Cron vs. Drew Pomeranz, Boston Red Sox
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $3,300
DraftKings = $3,800

Cron is on fire right now, batting 16-for-47 (.340) with five home runs and 14 RBI in his last 11 games. He’s hitting the ball with authority this year, posting a 42.9% hard-hit rate compared to his 32.6% career mark. Pomeranz has held left-handed hitters to a .273 wOBA in his career, but righties have posted a .315 wOBA. It might not be a bad idea to ride Cron’s hot bat for at least one more game.

Others to consider: Gary Sanchez (catcher) and Jose Martinez (first base)

SECOND BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Scooter Gennett vs. Phil Hughes, Minnesota Twins
Stadium – Target Field
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $3,400

Gennett almost doubled his previous career high with 27 home runs last year but has only gone deep twice in 2018. He’s still hitting for average though at .283, which still keeps him in the discussion for DFS despite his lack of power. He had a .388 wOBA against righties last year and faces a struggling one in Hughes on Friday. Hughes has been limited by injuries the last two years but hasn’t pitched well when healthy, posting a WHIP of at least 1.51 in both of those seasons.

Starlin Castro vs. Tyler Anderson, Colorado Rockies
Stadium – Marlins Park
FanDuel = $3,100
DraftKings = $3,200

Speaking of players who haven’t hit for power this year, Castro has only hit four doubles and is still looking for his first home run. His 39.5% hard-hit rate this year is actually much higher than his career mark, but his 56.6% ground-ball rate is also a career high. Anderson has a 1.52 WHIP through five starts this season and a 1.33 WHIP for his career, so he generally has a hard time keeping runners off base. At this cheap price, Castro has upside while also providing salary relief for your entry.

Others to consider: Cesar Hernandez and Gleyber Torres

THIRD BASE

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Jeimer Candelario vs. Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles
Stadium – Oriole Park at Camden Yards
FanDuel = $3,600
DraftKings = $4,200

Candelario continues to impress in his first full season as a starter, hitting .290 with a .908 OPS. He’s been batting second in the Tigers lineup, which is a great spot with Miguel Cabrera providing him with protection. Tillman has been awful this year with a 9.87 ERA and 2.37 WHIP, so don’t hesitate to add Candelario to your lineup.

Matt Davidson vs. Danny Duffy, Kansas City Royals
Stadium – Kauffman Stadium
FanDuel = $3,400
DraftKings = $3,500

Davidson is only batting .225 this year, but he’s been lethal when he makes contact with a 55% hard-hit rate. It’s led to seven home runs and three doubles despite his 31 strikeouts in 85 plate appearances. Duffy dominated left-handed hitters last year, holding them to a .199 wOBA. Righties hit him much better though with a .329 wOBA. I wouldn’t be surprised if Davidson goes deep in this game.

Others to consider: Todd Frazier and Daniel Roberston

SHORTSTOP

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Paul DeJong vs. Steven Brault, Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – PNC Park
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = $4,300

DeJong burst onto the scene for the Cardinals last year, batting .285 with 25 home runs in 108 games. He’s showed no signs of a sophomore slump, hitting .281 with seven home runs so far. He recorded a .392 wOBA against left-handers last year and will take on one in Brault on Friday, who doesn’t have overpowering stuff either with a career 6.5 K/9.

Adeiny Hechavarria vs. Drew Pomeranz, Boston Red Sox
Stadium – Fenway Park
FanDuel = $2,600
DraftKings = $3,100

Hechavarria didn’t get a hit Thursday against the Orioles but had at least two hits in four of six games entering that matchup. Known for his defensive abilities, Hechavarria is batting .273 overall this season. He’s hit better against lefties throughout his career, so he might be with the risk at this price against Pomeranz on Friday.

Others to consider: Francisco Lindor and Eduardo Nunez

OUTFIELD

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Recommendations for 4/27/18

Tommy Pham vs. Steven Brault, Pittsburgh Pirates
Stadium – PNC Park
FanDuel = $4,200
DraftKings = $4,700

Pham is doing his best to prove that his breakout season in 2017 was no fluke, batting .368 with a .484 OBP so far this year. After finishing last season with 23 home runs and 25 steals, he’s also continued to show his power and speed combo with three homers and five steals through 22 games. With a 153 wRC+ against lefties last year, Pham is another Cardinals right-handed hitter to key in on Friday.

Yoenis Cespedes vs. Clayton Richard, San Diego Padres
Stadium – Petco Park
FanDuel = $3,700
DraftKings = $4,100

Cespedes is only batting .211 this year, but his .300 BABIP is right in line with his career numbers. The problem is he has struck out a whopping 41 times in 103 plate appearances. To put that into perspective, he struck out 61 times in 321 plate appearances last year. He’ll need to show significant improvement in that area to makes gains with his batting average, but he still has a ton of power. Richard allowed 23 of his 24 home runs to right-handed hitters last year, leaving Cespedes as an option to consider for your entry.

Matt Kemp vs. Derek Holland, San Francisco Giants
Stadium – AT&T Park
FanDuel = $2,700
DraftKings = $3,800

This matchup screams split advantage. Holland was awful against righties last year, allowing a .408 wOBA. On the flip side, Kemp has a .391 wOBA against lefties for his career. If you are looking for a cost-effective outfielder Friday, look no further.

Others to consider: Mookie Betts and Leonys Martin

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks – Monday, September 18, 2017

MLB Daily Fantasy Picks

by Austyn Varney on September 18, 20170 Comments

*Austyn Varney*

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks – Monday, September 18, 2017

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks - Sammy Kershaw - Dodgers - Lineup Lab.com

Clayton Kershaw @ Philadelphia Phillies
Park – Citizens Bank Park
Opp implied total – 2.38

We only have 7 games on the slate tonight, so are pickings are quite a bit slimmer out. Fortunately, we do have Clayton a Kershaw against the Phillies. The biggest concern for Kershaw recent has been his pitch count. He saw 91 last time out and I think he gets there again. The Phillies are obviously a trash defense and they’ve sported just a .299 wOBA vs L since the break, while striking out nearly 24% of the time. We know how great Kershaw is, but a 12 K/9 and 2.64 xFIP solidify it. The Dodgers are -330 favorites and implied to put up nearly 6 runs. The win will be there for Kershaw, even if he just goes 5 or 6. The problem here is the lack of pivots. We’ll touch on one next, but he’s it. The bottom is ugly and there isn’t any arm that I have hope in. Kershaw is the clear top option on the slate and a guy you’re almost forced into in cash games.

Patrick Corbin @ San Diego Padres
Park – Petco Park
Vegas O/U – 3.39

Fortunately, we do have 1 solid pivot off of Clayton Kershaw. Patrick Corbin and the D-Backs enter San Diego to face the Padres in spacious Petco Park. Corbin has made a name for himself on the season, striking out 10 batters per 9 and holding a respectable .291 combined wOBA. He’s death to lefties and not much worse against righties either with a 63% GB rate. The Padres are one of he worst offenses in baseball and happen to call Petco Park, the worst hitting park in baseball, home. Corbin should be able to get up to 110 pitches if he’s slicing and dicing, which does give him substantially more upside for the price than even Kershaw. All in all, these are 2 guys who are extremely skilled and you’ll certainly have to pick at least 1 of them.

OFFENSIVE STACKS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks - Miami Marlins - Lineuplab

Miami Marlins Vs Matt Harvey (Mets)
Park – Marlins Park
Implied Total – 4.73

Boy oh boy, how the great have fallen. Once an ace that could be counted on to dominate, now a so-so 4 starter with not much upside. I don’t know what the problem is with Harvey, bits it’s certainly more than just 1. Literally, every single thing he was good at just 2 years ago is out the window to never be found again. For god sake, Harvey has allowed a whopping .394 wOBA to lefties. He’s also given up 17 homers in just 70 innings, so the HR issue looks to be here to stay. This Miami Marlins offense isn’t full of stars, but they are lethal. It all obviously starts with Stanton, who’ still chasing the 60 HR mark. You then get to Yelich and Gordon, who smash righties consistently. After that, the Marlins lineup is pretty spread out and I think you can go anywhere. Ozuna would be the obvious one to go with. You also have Justin Bour and Derek Dietrich, who hit righties extremely well and won’t be nearly as high owned.

Main Stack – Giancarlo Stanton, Dee Gordon, Christian Yelich, Marcell Ozuna
Sneaky Stack – Giancarlo Stanton, Christian Yelich, Justin Bour, Derek Dietrich

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Nick Pivetta (Phillies)
Park – Citizens Bank Park
Implied Total – 5.27

With just 7 games to choose from, we don’t have a bunch of offenses with crazy totals. I’d say the Marlins, Dodgers, and Yankees will e the 3 stacks who garner some attention. After that, everything else will be contrarian and off the board. The Dodgers, as I’ve mentioned, enter into this game as -330 favorites against Nick Pivetta. Pivetta has actually been worse against righties, but is still not any good vs lefties with a .331 wOBA. The Dodgers are moving from spacious Dodgers Stadium to Citizens Bank Park, where it’s much easier to hit homers. Justin Turner and Corey Seager are my 2 favorite options as they both drill righties and don’t rely on power for production. Next are Cody Berlinger and Yasmani Grandal. 2 power bats that can send one to the moon at any point. The Dodgers lineup is expected to put up close to 6 runs and you have to get some exposure in cash games.

Main Stack – Justin Turner, Corey Seager, Cody Bellinger, Yasmani Grandal
Sneaky Stack – Justin Turner, Corey Seager, Yasiel Puig, Curtis Granderson

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks – Tuesday, September 12, 2017

MLB Daily Fantasy Picks

by Austyn Varney on September 12, 20170 Comments

*Austyn Varney*

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks – Tuesday, September 12, 2017

STARTING PITCHERS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks - Corey Kluber

Corey Kluber Vs Detroit Tigers
Park – Progressive Field
Opp implied total – 2.32

At the top tonight, there are 2 guys who stand far above the rest. Clayton Kershaw and Corey Kluber are by far the best 2 pitchers on the slate and in cash games, I don’t see how you can get away without exposure to at least one. For me, it’s Corey Kluber. Kershaw has a few more question marks (pitch count, need to win) than Kluber, who is putting the Indians on his back to go for 19 straight. The Indians are the hottest team in baseball right now and I don’t see Matt Boyd and the Tigers coming in here and ending it with Klubot on the mound. He’s been better than any other pitcher this year. Sorry, Chris Sale, but you’ll never do anything when your arm is a piece of spaghetti by September. Kluber has exhibited a 12.04 K/9 that’s backed up a league-leading 2.49 xFIP and a 1.65 BB/9. This Tigers lineup is watered down and to be quite honest, insanely bad. I’m not one to jump off the Miguel Cabrera train, but C’mon man. Miggy has been a shell of his own shell this season. The rest of the team hasn’t been any better, either, striking out close to 25% of the time and pulling just a .309 wOBA against right-handers. Kluber is the top arm on the slate and as things sit now, I’ll have 100% exposure in cash games.

Jose Quintana Vs New York Mets
Park – Wrigley Field
Vegas O/U – 3.64

If we’re looking at raw points, it’s Clayton Kershaw against the Giants here. Even though we like Kluber a tad bit more, Kershaw can easily have one of the his performances where we all look back and wonder why we were such idiots. Still, if you need to pay down a bit, Jose Quintana is a fantastic pivot. Great against both lefties and righties, it doesn’t really matter what funk lineup the Mets toss out there. No matter how you break it down, it stinks. Everyone besides 2 guys in the order should be in the minors. The only 2 above average bats are Jose Reyes and Asdrubal Cabrera, which is a sad, sad statement for the city of New York. They both belong in the 7/8 hole of a good team and certainly don’t scare me away from an ace in Jose Quintana. Quintana may fly under the radar for some, but he is a top 15 pitcher in baseball and he will solidify that down the stretch with the Cubbies. The Cubs are in mus-win mode at this point and Quintana will pitch as long as he possibly can. He will be my 2nd most popular pitcher, but still, has a lot more risk than either of the top 2 options.

OFFENSIVE STACKS

MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball Lineup Stacks - Stanton - Lineuplab.com

Cleveland Indians @ Matt Boyd (Tigers)
Park – Progressive Field
Implied Total – 5.68

We’re going to stay right here in Cleveland and hope the Indians can put up some runs for our man Corey Kluber. I sure hope they can, as they will see one of the best match-ups of their entire streak. Matt Boyd, a lefty, has run into some major problems against both sides of the plate. Against lefties, a .349 wOBA 19 innings. Against righties, a .373 wOBA and 15 home runs in just under 100 innings. He’s also pitched most of his games in Comerica, so this will be a bump down for Boyd. The Indians have some lefty mashers and they’ll be right in the mix of things. Austin Jackson is a lefty specialist, so I’d expect him to be at the top of the order and be a fantastic player. The cast of regular character will take over there, with the likes of Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, and Edwin Encarnacion. We do know this lineup is pretty spread out, however, so don’t be afraid to take a bat or two lower in the order. I expect the Indians to put up some runs tonight and I doubt they are over 20% owned.

Main Stack – Edwin Encarnacion, Austin Jackson, Jose Ramirez, Francisco Lindor
Sneaky Stack – Jose Ramirez, Edwin Encarnacion, Jay Bruce, Francisco Lindor

Miami Marlins @ Nicholas Pivetta
Park – Citizens Bank Park
Implied Total – 4.40

I know the Marlins don’t have the 2nd or even 3rd highest implied total on the board, but I like them a lot as a stack. The first reason is they have the perfect 4-man stack. Gordon, Yelich, Ozuna, and Stanton take up for most of the Marlins production and you don’t really miss anything by fading the rest. They also face-off with Nicholas Pivetta, who’s been horrible against righties with a .409 wOBA. That immediately puts Stanton and Ozuna at the top of my list. He hasn’t been good against lefties, but a .319 isn’t horrible either. Dee Gordon and Yelich both dominate righties and I like them both just as much as the others. I don’t feel the need for a sneak stack with this lineup, as the main one won’t be very popular. We’re all watching Stanton and his path to 60, which he may get closer to tonight. Citizens Bank Park is a lot friendlier than Marlins Park and Stanton can probably bunt it out against Pivetta.

Main Stack – Dee Gordon, Giancarlo Stanton, Christian Yelich, Marcell Ozuna

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