Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations for Week 11

by Mike Barner on November 16, 20170 Comments

*Mike Barner*

Daily Fantasy Football Lineup Recommendations – Week 11

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Week 11 is the last week with teams on a bye, so this is the final time you will have limited options for your DFS entry. With the Indianapolis Colts and San Francisco 49ers being two of the teams on a bye, you won’t be able to take advantage of their bottom of the league defenses. That being said, there are still plenty of favorable matchups you can use to bring home some money. Put your favorite daily fantasy football recommendations from the article below in our lineup optimizer and hit calculate. You can let it fill in the rest of the spots for you or choose your personal favorites from the NFL Player Lab.

QUARTERBACKS

Carson Wentz vs. Dallas Cowboys
Stadium – AT&T Stadium
DraftKings = $7,200
FanDuel = $8,700

Wentz is one of the hottest quarterbacks in the NFL right now as he has thrown at least three touchdowns in four of the last five games. The Eagles are one of the best teams in the league and Wentz’s progress is the main reason why. Week 11 brings an excellent matchup against a Cowboys defense that has allowed 16 passing touchdowns while intercepting only five passes this year. Don’t expect them to be able to stop the Wentz Wagon this week.

Alex Smith vs. New York Giants
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $6,700
FanDuel = $7,900

Not only is Smith averaging a career-high 271.6 passing yards per game, but he also has an insane 18 touchdown passes with only one interception. Week 11 brings a terrible Giants defense that is tied for the most touchdown passes allowed this season (20). The Giants defense has dealt with injuries and suspensions and looks to have quit on a disappointing season. 49ers quarterback C.J. Beathard torched the Giants for 288 yards and two touchdown passes last week after throwing two touchdown passes in the previous four games combined. Smith is primed for a big game Sunday.

Jay Cutler vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Hard Rock Stadium
DraftKings = $5,400
FanDuel = $6,600

While the Dolphins offense has been terrible this season, Cutler has thrown at least two touchdown passes and thrown no more than one interception in each of his last four games. The Dolphins have weapons at wide receiver and are finally showing some semblance of a rushing attack, so don’t sleep on Cutler. He gets to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Week 11, a team who has allowed the fourth-most net passing yards per game (266) in the league. At this price, he is worth the risk in tournament play.

RUNNING BACKS

Kareem Hunt vs. New York Giants
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $8,000
FanDuel = $8,600

Hunt has slowed down after a hot start to the season as he hasn’t scored a touchdown since Week 3. He was at least continuing to rack up yards, but even that has dropped off as he has 68 total yards or less in both of his last two games. While it was unlikely that he could keep up his torrid start, it’s also unlikely his recent slide will continue. Week 11 brings a great matchup against a Giants defense that not only struggles to defend the pass but is also allowing the third-most rushing yards per game (132.6). Start Hunt with confidence Sunday.

Chris Thompson vs. New Orleans Saints
Stadium – Mercedes-Benz Superdome
DraftKings = $5,400
FanDuel = $6,800

Like Hunt, Thompson also hasn’t produced much lately as he has 98 total yards over his last two games combined. That being said, he has still been very involved in the passing game as he has received at least five targets in each of the last five games. Fellow running back Rob Kelley went down with an injury last week and has been placed on injured reserve. While Samaje Perine will take over for Kelley on most rushing downs, Thompson should also see an expanded role in the offense. The Redskins may need to throw a lot on the road to keep up with the Saints, making Thompson a nice option for your lineup at this price.

Orleans Darkwa vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $4,800
FanDuel = $5,900

The Giants continue to be a mess on both sides of the ball, but Darkwa has quietly provided solid value as he has rushed for at least 70 yards in three of the last four games. He played well in a loss last week against a bad San Francisco rush defense as he had 70 yards on 14 carries and caught two passes for 18 yards. The Chiefs also struggle to defend the run as they are allowing the fourth-most rushing yards per game (131.1). While this game is likely to get out of hand, Darkwa should run enough at least in the first half to provide value considering the cost to add him to your lineup.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Adam Thielen vs. Los Angeles Rams
Stadium – U.S. Bank Stadium
DraftKings = $7,200
FanDuel = $7,700

One of the more underrated receivers in the NFL, you should not look past Thielen this week. He gets a ton of passes thrown his way as has had at least 10 targets in each of his last four games. He came away with at least 96 receiving yards in three of those games and has scored one touchdown in both of the last two games. Quarterback Case Keenum has done a surprisingly good job of not just managing the Vikings offense but also leading them to the tenth most points scored in the league. Look for him to continue to produce this week as the Vikings try to keep up with the Rams high-scoring offense.

Jarvis Landry vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Stadium – Hard Rock Stadium
DraftKings = $6,400
FanDuel = $6,800

While the Dolphins offense hasn’t been anything to write home about, Landry has been the key focal point as he leads the NFL in receptions (61) and is third in targets (96). He actually has more touchdowns (5) than Antonio Brown (3) this season. With the Buccaneers struggles to defend the pass already detailed, it would be wise to get Landry in your lineup this week.

Sterling Shepard vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $6,300
FanDuel = $6,500

The Giants have very few quality healthy receivers, leaving Shepard as their best threat. While he didn’t reach the end zone, he had a huge game last week against the 49ers as he caught 11 of 13 targets for 142 yards. He received 9 targets the previous week against the Rams, so expect him to be heavily involved going forward. The Giants are likely to find themselves down big against a productive Chiefs offense, meaning lots of passes heading Shepard’s way. The potential is here for a big stat line.

Taylor Gabriel vs. Seattle Seahawks
Stadium – CenturyLink Field
DraftKings = $3,400
FanDuel = $5,300

With all the injuries at quarterback around the league and some teams still on a bye, there are limited cheap options with value at wide receiver. Gabriel might be someone to consider as he has at least three catches and at least 56 receiving yards in both of his last two games. The Seahawks secondary was dealt a blow last week when Richard Sherman was lost for the season due to injury, so they won’t be as strong as usual. If you want a cheap tournament play with some upside, take a chance on Gabriel.

TIGHT ENDS

Travis Kelce vs. New York Giants
Stadium – MetLife Stadium
DraftKings = $7,300
FanDuel = $7,500

This almost isn’t fair. Kelce is one of the best tight ends as he is in the top three in the NFL in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns at his position. Week 11 brings a matchup against the Giants who have allowed tight ends to score a touchdown in 10 straight games. Tight ends who have scored against them include Tyler Higbee and Garrett Celek. This has the makings of a huge performance from Kelce.

Tyler Kroft vs. Denver Broncos
Stadium – Sports Authority Field at Mile High
DraftKings = $2,900
FanDuel = $5,300

Kroft is coming off a dud of a performance Week 10 when he hauled in only one of six targets for four yards. He actually only has three receptions over his last two games combined, but they have come against solid defenses in the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars. This is a much easier matchup against the Broncos who have allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends (746) this season. He has the ability to provide significant value at this price.

DEFENSES/SPECIAL TEAMS

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Cleveland Browns
Stadium – FirstEnergy Stadium
DraftKings = $4,000
FanDuel = $5,600

The Jaguars failed to record a sack for the first time last week but still provided value as they produced an interception and a fumble recovery. They have an extremely favorable matchup against the hapless Browns offense this week. Not only have the Browns scored the second-fewest points in the league, but they have also allowed 27 sacks. Top that off with the 18 interceptions they have thrown and the Jaguars are a must start this week.

Houston Texans vs. Arizona Cardinals
Stadium – NRG Stadium
DraftKings = $3,100
FanDuel = $4,600

The Cardinals have been decimated by injuries at quarterback as not only is Carson Palmer out, but backup Drew Stanton is dealing with a knee injury that will likely sideline him this week. Blaine Gabbert would be in line to start if Stanton can’t play. There isn’t much more of a recipe for success than facing a team’s third-string quarterback, so play the Texans defense if you are looking for a more cost-effective option.

NFL Lineup Daily Fantasy Football: Week 6 Cash and GPP Plays

NFL Daily Fantasy Picks

by Cesar Becerra on October 12, 20170 Comments

The Week 6 teams on bye aren’t as difficult to overcome compared to last week’s teams. This week the Buffalo Bills, Cincinnati Bengals, Dallas Cowboys, and Seattle Seahawks are all on bye. That being said there are a few games that are worth targeting if you are starting your research with Vegas totals. There are 7 games with a game total over 46 points, including the most appealing of them all in New Orleans (50). Let’s take a look at some plays this week from each position.

Quarterback:

NFL Lineups Daily Fantasy Football - Drew Brees - New Orleans Saints - Lineup lab

As I’ve mentioned throughout this year, quarterback ownership is almost always spread out equally, that there rarely is a QB that we see over 20% owned. That figures to be the case this week with several good options on the slate.

Drew Brees (DK $7,200, FD $8,600) – Brees is surprisingly not the highest priced QB on neither DK or FD. He’s the third priced QB on both sites and is in a pretty damn good spot. If you’re a football fan, you’re well aware of Bree’s home and road splits. Brees has averaged over 300 yards and has had a 2:1 TD to interception ratio in dome stadiums. This week Brees is at home coming off a bye against a Lions team that has been over performing to start the season. To add more frosting to the cake, Brees is a slight home favorite implied to score 27.25 points. This game has the slates highest over/under (50), so Vegas is expecting these two teams to light up the scoreboard. Brees will be popular this week.

Matthew Stafford (DK $ 6,500, FD $8,500) – For all the reasons mentioned in the Brees section, I think Stafford will be popular on this slate. He’s $700 cheaper on DK than Brees so the savings could make him higher owned than Brees, but on FD he’s essentially a pick ‘em with only $100 separating the two. This game is one of the few games with a high total and a relatively close spread so if any game is going to shoot out; it will likely be this one.

Deshaun Watson (DK $6,700, FD $7,900) – Watson is another QB I expect will garnish some ownership based on his recent play. Watson has averaged 31.8 DK points over the past 3 weeks, and his price spike reflects his performance. He does have a good matchup as a home favorite against the Browns who are worst in the league in adjusted fantasy points allowed (26.3). His rushing ability gives him a nice floor for cash games, but in gpps, I like fading him for my favorite quarterback on the week (next player). He’s not a bad play at all, but he’s gotten to be a little too expensive for my taste, especially when you consider that most of his TD production last week came during garbage time against the Chiefs.

Kirk Cousins (DK $6,800, FD $ 7,800) – Cousins is the same price point as the last two QBs I mentioned above, and I feel he will be the least owned, which is why I like him for gpps. Cousins is coming off of a bye week and facing the 49ers who are coming off their second consecutive road overtime loss. Cousins and the Redskins go into week 6 with the highest implied team total (28.8) and are 10.5 point favorites. The 49ers are probably the best winless team in the league, losing 4 games by a combined 11 points, but their secondary can be attacked. Per PFF, the 49ers have 3 of the worst rated corners. Dontae Johnson rated no. 108 of 109, Rashard Robinson is no. 104, and K’Waun Williams is no. 99. The Redskins should be able to attack through the air, especially with Rob Kelly expected to be out.

Bargain Barrel:

Carson Palmer, Jameis Winston, Jacoby Brissett

Running Backs:

NFL Lineups Daily Fantasy Football - DeVonta Freeman - Lineuplab.com

Kareem Hunt (DK $8,200, FD $9,300) – I wasn’t going to write up Hunt because by now you should be aware of the amount of volume he’s been getting this season. On DK he’s $1,400 cheap than Bell, which is insane when you factor in that the Chiefs are home favorites over the Steelers. Hunt lost a lot of fantasy points last week with two flukey touchdowns by Charcandrick West. This week Hunt is going up against the Steelers who are 31st DVOA against the run and just got burned for 181 yards and 2 touchdowns from top rookie Leonard Fournette. Hunt is currently projected as our top RB this week over Bell, regardless of price.

Leonard Fournette (DK, $8,000, FD, $8,600) – Speaking of rookies. It’s about time to start talking about Fournette on a consistent basis. He’s averaging 24 touches per game and has scored in all but one game this season. There’s no secret the Jags are trying to keep the ball out of Bortles’ hands as much, which leads to Fournette carrying the offensive workload. Through the first 5 weeks, Fournette has received 70% of the carries and has been targeted 15 times. He’s going up against a Rams defense that ranks 32nd in aFPA (32.8). The Jags are a slight home favorite, so that also bodes well for Fournette.

Devonta Freeman (DK $7,400, FD $ 8,500) – Freeman is the better play on DK since his salary gives you bigger savings from the two backs mentioned above. Freeman has the luxury of playing behind the number 1 rated run blocking offensive line according to PFF. The Falcons are among the biggest home favorites this week (11.5) and are implied to score over 28 points. The Dolphins rank in the middle of the pack in aFPA with an average of 21 PPG. There’s always a concern with splitting carries with Tevin Coleman, but through the Falcons first 4 games, Freeman has 73% of the carries compared to Coleman’s 27%.

Mark Ingram (DK $4,400, FD $ 5,900) – A true committee that a lot of DFS players will have their eye on. With the trade of Adrian Peterson, this backfield is now a true timeshare between Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara (DK $4,500, FD $ 5,800). My initial thought is that Kamara will be the more popular back because of his involvement in the passing game and his big game before last week’s bye. Kamara went for 25.6 DK points on 10 receptions for 71 yards and a TD. This game has shootout written all over it so Kamara could continue to see more passing targets out of the backfield. My only concern here is that although Ingram is being phased out by the coaches, he’s still seeing over 55% of the carries and 36% of the targets. Ingram does have pass-catching upside and is still the goal line back, so he’d be the preferred choice on FD. However, on DK I think I’d have to lean on Kamara for the bigger PPR upside.

Jerick McKinnon (DK $4,100, FD $5,600) – Another running back situation that people will monitor is the Vikings’ committee. Last week in their first week without Delvin Cook, McKinnon saw 67% of the snaps compared to Murray who saw 31%. The carries were 55% for McKinnon and 41% to Murray. McKinnon led all backs with 6 receptions on 6 targets, while Murray seemed to be phased out in the second half. McKinnon was more successful with his workload averaging 5.9 YPC compared to Murray’s 2.6. McKinnon is currently rated as our top value play (points per dollar) on DK and FD.

Chris Thompson (DK $5,000) – A nice GPP pivot off the chalkier cheaper options I mentioned above. If Rob Kelly misses like the reports indicate he is, Thompson could be a great gpp option against the 49ers. He’s not that cheap on DK but has a lot of upside. Samaje Perine could work the early downs but Thompson is the featured back in the passing game, which I expect the Redskins to focus on.

Other Viable Options:

CJ Anderson, M. Gordon, T. Gurley, A. Jones *T. Montgomery out*, L. Miller, E. McGuire.

Wide Receivers:

NFL Lineups Daily Fantasy Football - DeAndre Hopkins - Lineup Lab

Wide Receiver is a little more open season when compared to running backs. There are a lot of teams that are big favorites so there are really only a few passing offenses that you want to use.

DeAndre Hopkins (DK $8,100, FD $8,000) – Nuke’s price took a STEEP hike on DK, rising over $1,700 after a 3 touchdown performance against the Chiefs. But even at over 8K, that price is finally warranted for a guy that is receiving over 12 targets per game. Through 5 weeks of the season, Hopkins only trails Antonio Brown for most targets in the league. This week Hopkins has an above average matchup against Jason McCourty, who actually has a great grade on PFF(91.7), but the past two seasons he’s averaged a grade in the mid 50’s. It’s also worth noting that Hopkins is expected to lineup against Jamar Taylor (has a 45.1 PFF rating) in two WR sets. Hopkins should be able to produce with the 12+ targets he’s expected to see.

Julio Jones (DK, $8,300, FD $8,400) – I have yet to roster Julio this season, and thankfully so. Julio has yet to score this year and only has 30 targets on the season (4 games). But I have a feeling this is the week we see Julio get back on track. The Falcons are really thin at WR and Julio will be facing either Cordrea Tankersley or Xavien Howard. Regardless of who Julio matches up against, he’s virtually matchup proof. Julio notoriously plays better at home than on the road. It’s about time Julio finds the endzone this week.

Pierre Garcon (DK $ 6,300, FD $6,800) – I loved Garcon last week against the Colts despite going up against Vontae Davis. This week I want to go back to the well in a game that I expect the 49ers to be trailing. The Redskins will be without Josh Norman which helps Garcon. Garcon is currently 8th in the league in targets with 44 through 5 games. This week Garcon could face Quinton Dunbar and Bashaud Breeland who are both targetable corners. I expect Garcon to get 10-12 targets this game and can very well see him putting up over 14 fantasy points.

Adam Thielen (DK $6,000 FD $6,500) – Thielen gets a great matchup here against a bad Packers secondary. Thielen is the primary slot receiver for the Vikings so he’ll face Quinten Rollins who is one of the worst slot corners according to PFF. The Packers should jump out to an early lead, which would mean the Vikings would have to pass the ball more. It’s worth monitoring Bradford’s status as game day gets closer.

Cash Viable Plays:

M. Thomas, K.Allen, L. Fitzgerald, J. Landry, G. Tate, C. Hogan, A. Cooper.

Gpp Flyers:

D. Jackson, John Brown, M. Jones Jr., T. Hill, D. Amendola, B. Cooks, T. Pryor Sr.

Value Receivers

A. Wilson, J. Kearse, J. Crowder.

Tight Ends:

Hunter Henry - NFL Lineups Daily Fantasy Football - San Diego Chargers - Lineuplab.com

Hunter Henry (DK $4,100, FD $5,400) – Henry looks to have finally taken over the tight end position for the Chargers. After 3 weeks of force-feeding Antonio Gates, Henry has finally become a part of the offense. He has now scored in two straight weeks. He ran 33 routes in over 75% of snaps he played last week.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins (DK $4,300, FD $5,600) – ASJ came through last week by scoring a touchdown. That now gives him an average of 6 targets the past 3 weeks. He’s going up against the Patriots who will get out to a big lead and have allowed the most passing yards in the league.

Travis Kelce (DK $6,100, FD $7,200) – Kelce is the top projected TE on both sites this week. Kelce has 20 targets the last two weeks. Keep an eye out on the Chiefs injury report to make sure Kelce is active.

Defense:

NFL Lineups Daily Fantasy Football - Baltimore Ravens - Lineuplab.com

There are 5 teams that are currently more than a touchdown favorite. The Patriots are the only team in that bunch that is not at home. The Ravens (16.5), Falcons (17.25), Redskins (18), Texans (18.5), and the Patriots (20) are all going up against teams implied to score less than 20 points. Defense is very volatile so any one of these could land atop the leaderboards. The Ravens are currently our top projected defense. While the Bucs are the best value projected to score nearly 3x.

Good Luck!

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